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From: vincent64 on 8 May 2010 20:39 Nobody will ever know the exact cause of this historic collapse (the largest intraday drop ever) followed by a recovery within a few minutes. It impacted several stock exchanges and most stocks, and the volume was heavy. Possible causes: Is it a terrorist plot? No, terrorists don't have this level of sophistication. Even if the terrorist was a trader in a major US bank. Is it manipulation by the government to extract hundreds of billions of dollars to finance health care, the Greeks and other problems? I don't believe in this conspiracy theory, because the government also lacks the required level of sophistication. Wall Street crooks? I don't think so. Did money really change hands? Maybe for a few minutes, but it's not like 500 billion dollars were "stolen" from ordinary investors and permanently transferred to a few large accounts. It's likely that the money came back to those who lost it (see my section on "probable cause" to understand why it came back). Trading error? No trading error could produce such a drop. Probable cause: The stock market is driven by emotions. Behavioral analytic models explain swings and volatility. If you've been .... Full story at http://www.analyticbridge.com/group/computationalfinance/forum/topics/dow-losing-600-points-in-a-few
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