From: Mike Amling on
Scott Fluhrer wrote:
> "Sal" <here(a)softcom.net> wrote in message
> news:8012e1bf-2b3a-46a0-805c-1d31f1d7a280(a)b33g2000yqc.googlegroups.com...
>
>> Can't compute it, but for accuracy isn't this the REAL solution? Find
>> N where:
>>
>> ((2^512)-1)/2^512 * ((2^512)-2)/2^512 * ((2^512)-3)/2^512 * ... *
>> ((2^512)-N)/2^512 ~ 50%
>
> No, it is not (even if the question were "how many attempts have to do
> before you get to 50% probability of one attempt succeeding"). The
> probability of the first attempt failing is indeed ((2^512)-1)/2^512,
> however the probability of the first two attempts both failing is
> ((2^512)-1)/2^512 * ((2^512)-1)/2^512, not ((2^512)-1)/2^512 *
> ((2^512)-2)/2^512. That's because the hashes of the two attempts (assuming
> that the values hashed are distinct) are independent, and so the probability
> of second one succeeding is independent of the probability of the first one
> succeeding.
>
> The answer to that question is the value of N such that ((2^512)-1)/2^512)
> ** N ~ 50%. Noob gave the correct solution to that: N ~ ln(2) / 2**512.

ln(2)/2**512 is a pretty small number. I could more easily believe
2**512/ln(2).

--Mike Amling
From: Scott Fluhrer on

"Mike Amling" <mamling(a)rmcis.com> wrote in message
news:830bt6FmnmU1(a)mid.individual.net...
> Scott Fluhrer wrote:
>> "Sal" <here(a)softcom.net> wrote in message
>> news:8012e1bf-2b3a-46a0-805c-1d31f1d7a280(a)b33g2000yqc.googlegroups.com...
>>
>>> Can't compute it, but for accuracy isn't this the REAL solution? Find
>>> N where:
>>>
>>> ((2^512)-1)/2^512 * ((2^512)-2)/2^512 * ((2^512)-3)/2^512 * ... *
>>> ((2^512)-N)/2^512 ~ 50%
>>
>> No, it is not (even if the question were "how many attempts have to do
>> before you get to 50% probability of one attempt succeeding"). The
>> probability of the first attempt failing is indeed ((2^512)-1)/2^512,
>> however the probability of the first two attempts both failing is
>> ((2^512)-1)/2^512 * ((2^512)-1)/2^512, not ((2^512)-1)/2^512 *
>> ((2^512)-2)/2^512. That's because the hashes of the two attempts
>> (assuming that the values hashed are distinct) are independent, and so
>> the probability of second one succeeding is independent of the
>> probability of the first one succeeding.
>>
>> The answer to that question is the value of N such that
>> ((2^512)-1)/2^512) ** N ~ 50%. Noob gave the correct solution to that: N
>> ~ ln(2) / 2**512.
>
> ln(2)/2**512 is a pretty small number. I could more easily believe
> 2**512/ln(2).

Doh! The correct answer is:

N ~ ln(2) * 2**512.

--
poncho