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From: Uncle Al on 17 Dec 2009 11:31 Sam Wormley wrote: > > Power Law Explains Insurgent Violence > http://sciencenow.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/2009/1216/1 > > By Richard Kerr > ScienceNOW Daily News > 16 December 2009 > > War is messy, but it may be predictable. According to a study of nine recent insurgencies > around the world, some patterns, such as the risk of violence over time, can be predicted > from just a few simple aspects of the conflict. [snip hopeless scrap] Vietnam was the first game theory conflict. It was an incessant US disaster. Then, somebody realized the North Vietnamese did not know game theory. Of coures they were winning - they weren't professionally managed! The US made a remarkable and successful effort to leak the mathematics of Official conflict to the North. It worked! The North Vietnamese went 100% game theory. They invested a year debating the size and shape of the Paris negotiation table with US diplomats (mildly retarded children of wealthy and powerful parents). For some reason the US never caught on. Game theory will defeat the enemy in Afghanistan! But first, we must send in military advisors to teach them spreadsheets and differential equations. -- Uncle Al http://www.mazepath.com/uncleal/ (Toxic URL! Unsafe for children and most mammals) http://www.mazepath.com/uncleal/qz4.htm
From: Uncle Al on 17 Dec 2009 13:19 Sam Wormley wrote: > > Power Law Explains Insurgent Violence > http://sciencenow.sciencemag.org/cgi/content/full/2009/1216/1 > > By Richard Kerr > ScienceNOW Daily News > 16 December 2009 > > War is messy, but it may be predictable. According to a study of nine recent insurgencies > around the world, some patterns, such as the risk of violence over time, can be predicted > from just a few simple aspects of the conflict. [snip hopeless scrap] Vietnam was the first game theory conflict. It was an incessant US disaster. Then, somebody realized the North Vietnamese did not know game theory. Of coures they were winning - they weren't professionally managed! The US made a remarkable and successful effort to leak the mathematics of Official conflict to the North. It worked! The North Vietnamese went 100% game theory. They invested a year debating the size and shape of the Paris negotiation table with US diplomats (mildly retarded children of wealthy and powerful parents). For some reason the US never caught on. Game theory will defeat the enemy in Afghanistan! But first, we must send in military advisors to teach them spreadsheets and differential equations. -- Uncle Al http://www.mazepath.com/uncleal/ (Toxic URL! Unsafe for children and most mammals) http://www.mazepath.com/uncleal/qz4.htm
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