From: krw on
On Mon, 24 May 2010 08:47:55 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:

>dagmargoodboat(a)yahoo.com wrote:
>> On May 23, 3:22 pm, Joerg <inva...(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>> k...(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>>>> On Sun, 23 May 2010 08:00:00 -0700, Joerg <inva...(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>
>>>> If the Asian prices don't come down they'll get competition from the now
>>>> cheaper US companies. Looks like a win to me.
>>> No win there. First, there are no US television or sneaker or clothes
>>> manufacturers left. Even if there were or new ones would be sprouting up
>>> they could not possibly compete with the made-in-China pair of $29.99
>>> jogging shoes that consumers have come to expect at places like Costco.
>>> It would be, "Oh, look, we can make the same sneakers for $60 instead of
>>> $75 because of the "fair tax". Big deal.
>>>
>>>>>>> and will be mighty miffed if he's a retiree.
>>>>>> *That* is the component I'm not happy about. I don't see anyone addressing
>>>>>> it, either.
>>>>> I did, many times over in this thread, but hardly anyone understands :-(
>>>> We did, but I don't see any of the talking heads recognize it, on either side.
>>> Then the whole thing should remain a non-starter. At least I hope so.
>>
>> Sorry, I spent yesterday talking in person to the actual Fair Tax
>> guys, along with some U.S. congressmen. I'll chime in later, but for
>> now I'm swamped and pooped, with a left-handed shovel and a whole lot
>> of ____.
>>
>
>Oh, oh, major spill somewhere? I hate whan that happens, but been there :-(

Maybe James works for BP Microsystems. ;-)

>> Short version: no it's not in there, but yes, they're open to amending
>> their bill so as to exempt savings that have already been taxed.
>>
>
>This is extremely important. First, because they will get a ton of flak
>from seniors and their organizations without taking care of this.

As has been shown recently, AARP can easily be bought off.

>Secondly, people who have diligently saved want some _ironclad_
>guarantees there, in a way that thise guarantees cannot be changed
>later. Recent retroactive law changes have eroded a whole lot of trust,
>so this will now be much more difficult to achieve than years ago. In
>essence, folks that have saved should not pay any tax until all that
>savings is used up. Except for what's gained in future interest, of
>course, because one must also be fair in the other direction. But here
>we will have the first major bureaucratic job coming at it.

Anyone with an IRA, particularly a Roth should be very worried, regardless of
the Fair Tax.

>> Of all the alternatives, I still find it very appealing, especially
>> compared to the current system. That doesn't mean I'm fully buying it
>> yet--I still haven't considered all the possible gotchas.
>>
>
>I am not even considering it unless the savings issue is taken care of.
>Not so much for the sake of myself but for that of our country because
>the repercussions for the financial market could be (or I should say
>would be) devastating.

Agreed, but that doesn't mean I'm not extremely concerned about it.
From: krw on
On Sun, 23 May 2010 23:03:27 -0700 (PDT), Greegor <greegor47(a)gmail.com> wrote:

>On May 23, 10:41�am, "k...(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz"
><k...(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz> wrote:
>> On Sun, 23 May 2010 04:47:36 -0700, "JosephKK"<quiettechb...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
>> >On Sat, 22 May 2010 08:50:50 -0700, Joerg <inva...(a)invalid.invalid>
>> >wrote:
>>
>> >>JosephKK wrote:
>> >>> On Fri, 21 May 2010 12:45:07 -0700, Joerg <inva...(a)invalid.invalid>
>> >>> wrote:
>>
>> >>>> JosephKK wrote:
>> >>>>> On Thu, 20 May 2010 07:47:38 -0700, Joerg <inva...(a)invalid.invalid>
>> >>>>> wrote:
>>
>> >>>>>> JosephKK wrote:
>> >>>>>>> On Wed, 19 May 2010 16:30:12 -0700, Joerg <inva...(a)invalid.invalid>
>> >>>>>>> wrote:
>>
>> >>>>>>>> k...(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>> >>>>>>>>> On Wed, 19 May 2010 15:27:01 -0700, Joerg <inva...(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>
>> >>>>>>>>>> k...(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>> >>>>>>>>>>> On Wed, 19 May 2010 09:42:44 -0700, Joerg <inva...(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>
>> >>>>>>>>>>>> dagmargoodb...(a)yahoo.com wrote:
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>> On May 18, 2:46 pm, Charlie E. <edmond...(a)ieee.org> wrote:
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> On Mon, 17 May 2010 14:31:43 -0700 (PDT), dagmargoodb...(a)yahoo.com
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> wrote:
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> <major snippage and attributions...>
>>
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> $1 only buys $0.77 worth of _stuff_ today, say the Fair Tax people
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> (AIUI). �The rest goes to taxes hidden in the item's price.
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> �If I tax-deferred the
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> $1.40, I could buy $1.00 worth of stuff. �Any after-tax savings (that
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>>> is socked away before the change) gets hammered *twice*.
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> If you had tax-deferred the $1.40, you'd escape the indignities of the
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> old system. �That's a windfall (assuming Congress allows it).
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> Going forward though, with income-taxed money, the $1 we have left
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> still buys the same with or without the Fair Tax. �$1 with embedded
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> tax burden hidden inside it, or ($0.77 actual price + $0.23 Fair Tax)
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> both cost you $1 at the register. �No loss of purchasing power.
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>>> That's the contention, AIUI.
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> The other false assumption is that the price would drop
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> instantaneously to $.77 as soon as the tax was passed.
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>> I don't assume that. � There are all sorts of 2nd and 3rd-order
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>> effects.
>>
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> In reality,
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> the price stays at $1.00, and the retailer uses this 'profit' to pay
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> off his loans. �Now, as time goes by, prices 'might' drop, but I
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>>> wouldn't bet on it. �I actually expect prices to rise.
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>> I expect prices to fall, quickly. �Like with gasoline there's a delay
>> >>>>>>>>>>>>> for goods-in-transit, then market forces handle the rest.
>>
>> >>>>>>>>>>>> Why would a Japanese car or Chinese-made flatscreen TV fall in price
>> >>>>>>>>>>>> quickly?
>> >>>>>>>>>>> Because there is more than one manufacturer.
>>
>> >>>>>>>>>> With consumer electronics the number of manufacturers inside the US is
>> >>>>>>>>>> often zero.
>> >>>>>>>>> I don't see the relevance.
>> >>>>>>>> The relevance is this:
>>
>> >>>>>>>> When a group of "experts" claims the price of goods will fall because
>> >>>>>>>> the income tax burden of the labor in a product will drop by 23 percent
>> >>>>>>>> that assumption is flawed for two reasons:
>>
>> >>>>>>>> a. Most consumer products are from China and, consequently, not one iota
>> >>>>>>>> will change in the tax on labor. The only cost that changes is the labor
>> >>>>>>>> associated with the sales and distribution process but that's miniscule.
>> >>>>>>> I don't think so. �The final retail distribution is rather expensive and
>> >>>>>>> labor cost driven. �Take a look at the volume pricing at Digikey for
>> >>>>>>> example.
>> >>>>>> I am looking at Walmart and Costco. There's nobody working there that'll
>> >>>>>> crack one can of pickles out of a 4-pack. You either buy the 4-pack or
>> >>>>>> you don't have pickles for lunch :-)
>>
>> >>>>> You are confusing unit of issue, intentional recruiting at minimum wage,
>> >>>>> and business designed for those conditions with price per unit and delta
>> >>>>> price per unit versus volume.
>>
>> >>>> What's confusing about this? Whether it's Walmart or Amazon or whatever,
>> >>>> competition forces such places to live on rather slim margins. The same
>> >>>> is true in the auto business. Yeah, the dealer/middleman might make
>> >>>> $1k-$2k but the other $15k go to Japan or Korea.
>>
>> >>> Dealers usually get mote than that, like 3k to 5k per car, more for
>> >>> luxury lines like Lexus. �Go ask if you don't believe me.
>>
>> >>Nope, not so. I was being generous here, they usually do not even get
>> >>anything close to 10%:
>>
>> >>http://www.autoobserver.com/2009/09/sales-drop-pushes-prices-down-squ...
>
>JKK >That is gross profit, not markup.
>
>krw > Huh? �Gross profit is markup. �Price - cost.
>
>W 100
>R 120
>GP 20
>MU 20 % ( GP/W )
>Gross Profit Margin 16 % ( GP/R )

That's all just pushing the same two numbers around.

>Business insiders tend to focus on margin.
>Consumers often focus on the markup.

Distinction without a difference; same numbers.

>Net margin would correct for overhead costs,
>but is not as reliably calculable.
From: Greegor on
JKK >That is gross profit, not markup.

krw > Huh?  Gross profit is markup.  Price - cost.

Are you mixing real numbers with percentages?

W 100
R  120
GP 20
MU 20 %  ( GP/W )
Gross Profit Margin 16 % ( GP/R )

krw > That's all just pushing the same two numbers around.

G > Business insiders tend to focus on margin.
G > Consumers often focus on the markup.

krw > Distinction without a difference; same numbers.

You think 16% == 20% ?