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From: Dirk Bruere at NeoPax on 18 Feb 2010 13:34
Yevgen Barsukov wrote:
> [Moderator's note: Quoted text snipped. -P.H.]
>
> On Feb 15, 1:28 pm, Dirk Bruere at NeoPax <dirk.bru...(a)gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>> How cheap could our hypothetical 1 sq metre 20% efficient PV panel be
>> made? If we compare it to the cost of 1 sq m of LCD TV screen, which is
>> quite a complex bit of tech, then maybe $200. That immediately gives us
>> a price of $1 per peal Watt.
>>
>> I suggest that making a PV panel by a printing process will ultimately
>> be less than one tenth of this price in genuine mass production and that
>> the final costs of a PV installation circa 2025 will not be determined
>> by the cost of panels, but by the ironwork and grid connections.
>
> 1W/$ with 10% efficiency is already history, since that is why CdTe
> cells are being sold for.
>
> As for going the next order of magnitude cheaper - it is coming.
> Slury custing, and no rare elements, already 9% efficiency.
> See kesterite cells, Cu2ZnSn(S,Se):
> http://www.physorg.com/news185093054.html
>
> Regards,
> Yevgen
>

Agreed.
I am interested in the social and economic impact of daytime electricity
that is one tenth the cost of any "conventional" source. Especially if
domestic generators sell excess capacity, or even load leveling backup
in the form of batteries.

--
Dirk

http://www.transcendence.me.uk/ - Transcendence UK
http://www.theconsensus.org/ - A UK political party
http://www.blogtalkradio.com/onetribe - Occult Talk Show

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