From: Phil Hobbs on
On 1/21/2010 10:24 AM, Rich Webb wrote:
> On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 15:06:10 +0000, Raveninghorde
> <raveninghorde(a)invalid> wrote:
>
>>
>> How do you calculate MTBF?
>
> For a component? For an entire system? 217 or Bellcore/Telcordia or ...
>
> The Wikipedia article isn't a bad place to start. If you're tasked with
> doing a full-up parts-stress reliability prediction analysis, good luck!
>

217?

<shudder>

Who said there was no such thing as a true random number generating
algorithm?

Cheers

Phil Hobbs

--
Dr Philip C D Hobbs
Principal
ElectroOptical Innovations
55 Orchard Rd
Briarcliff Manor NY 10510
845-480-2058

email: hobbs at electrooptical dot net
http://electrooptical.net
From: John Larkin on
On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 20:19:32 -0500, Phil Hobbs
<pcdhSpamMeSenseless(a)electrooptical.net> wrote:

>On 1/21/2010 10:24 AM, Rich Webb wrote:
>> On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 15:06:10 +0000, Raveninghorde
>> <raveninghorde(a)invalid> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>> How do you calculate MTBF?
>>
>> For a component? For an entire system? 217 or Bellcore/Telcordia or ...
>>
>> The Wikipedia article isn't a bad place to start. If you're tasked with
>> doing a full-up parts-stress reliability prediction analysis, good luck!
>>
>
>217?
>
><shudder>
>
>Who said there was no such thing as a true random number generating
>algorithm?
>
>Cheers
>
>Phil Hobbs

We use Bellcore because the calculated MTBFs come out much higher.

John

From: Artemus on

"John Larkin" <jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote in message >
> We use Bellcore because the calculated MTBFs come out much higher.
>
> John
>
It's been a long time since I did any of that stuff but IIRC the MIL
calcs used 125�C for the high temp and Bellcore used 85�C. This
would account for the better numbers.
Art


From: mook johnson on

"John Larkin" <jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote in message
news:rhahl5t756021nl1ld64dtmo0ei4paqskt(a)4ax.com...
> On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 12:43:20 -0500, Rich Webb
> <bbew.ar(a)mapson.nozirev.ten> wrote:
>
>>On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 16:35:55 +0000, Raveninghorde
>><raveninghorde(a)invalid> wrote:
>>
>>>On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 07:33:02 -0800, John Larkin
>>><jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>>On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 15:06:10 +0000, Raveninghorde
>>>><raveninghorde(a)invalid> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>How do you calculate MTBF?
>>>>
>>>>Get the failure rate of each part (specified in FITS, failures per
>>>>billion hours), add them up, take the reciprocal, multiply by a
>>>>billion.
>>>>
>>>>John
>>>
>>>Thanks
>>>
>>>The National site is good and I found the info for the their parts.
>>>
>>>Microchip no luck, IR no luck. So where do you normally find the
>>>information?
>>>
>>>I suppose one also assumes perfect ESD procedures, and perfect lead
>>>free soldering.
>>
>>You're new at this so, even if you're not doing a MIL-STD prediction,
>>I'd strongly recommend downloading MIL-HDBK-217 from the online site
>><https://assist.daps.dla.mil/quicksearch/> (search on MIL-HDBK-217 in
>>the Document ID field) and skimming though sections 3 and 4. The
>>Bellcore process is similar.
>>
>>John's basic equation is correct. You can use the tables in 217 to
>>estimate the reliability of items for which the manufacturer does not
>>provide the info.
>
> One reason we paid for the Bellcore TR-332 document is that their
> numbers are much better. I assume it's the difference between
> commercial and military applications.
>
> John


the First paragraph in the 217 states that the analysis results cannot be
used for contractual requirements.
The MTBF numbers calculated are only for a guidance.

Try telling that to managment once they get that MTBF number in their hot
little hands. :)







From: Robert Baer on
Raveninghorde wrote:
> On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 10:24:29 -0500, Rich Webb
> <bbew.ar(a)mapson.nozirev.ten> wrote:
>
>> On Thu, 21 Jan 2010 15:06:10 +0000, Raveninghorde
>> <raveninghorde(a)invalid> wrote:
>>
>>> How do you calculate MTBF?
>> For a component? For an entire system? 217 or Bellcore/Telcordia or ...
>>
>> The Wikipedia article isn't a bad place to start. If you're tasked with
>> doing a full-up parts-stress reliability prediction analysis, good luck!
>
> For a lithium ion battery charger.
>
> My brief post was a cry of despair. I ship these by the hundred. Now a
> BIG US company wants them and I get asked for a bucket load of
> information.
...as long as they PAY for the info and time to compile it.