From: Rob Warnock on
Pascal J. Bourguignon <pjb(a)informatimago.com> wrote:
+---------------
| Tim Bradshaw <tfb(a)tfeb.org> writes:
| > Anyway, this is kind of off-topic now.
|
| Well, not if you believe the universe is simulation in a computer,
| what's more, written in Lisp! :-)
| (Even if some believe it's hacked in perl).
+---------------

Is that a thinly veiled reference to this Randall Munroe classic? ;-}

http://xkcd.com/224/


-Rob

-----
Rob Warnock <rpw3(a)rpw3.org>
627 26th Avenue <URL:http://rpw3.org/>
San Mateo, CA 94403 (650)572-2607

From: Tim Bradshaw on
On 2010-02-22 21:56:42 +0000, Tamas K Papp said:

> To a certain extent, I agree with you. But the problem is very hard,
> and it requires thinking in terms of economic models (vs purely
> statistical ones), and general equilibrium (instead of partial
> equilibrium concepts). I don't think that anyone without serious
> training in economics has a chance. And moreover, progress is quite
> slow, at least on the scale of financial companies. They don't have
> the incentive to employ people who do basic research, so I don't blame
> them.

I think that's what disapoints me. My view is that someone who really
is a physicist is someone who would look at some problem domain (not
just a physics domain) and make a really good stab at understanding it
properly, more-or-less whatever it was. Not someone who would just
cobble together some na�ve and obviously wrong model and be happy with
that. (The same is true for engineers I think.) Of course economics is
not easy, but it's not harder than physics (well, perhaps it is,
because we don't actually have economic theories that really work very
well, and maybe the ones that do work will turn out to be harder than
physics, but I'd guess not).

>
> Nowadays, most universities have a graduate program in "financial
> engineering" or similar, and graduates from these programs are
> starting to displace physicists (some would argue that they have
> already done so in certain areas). Nowadays, students who want to
> work as quants can go straight to these programs, so physicists can
> concentrate on physics, which is just as well.

I don't know if this is a good or a bad thing. Obviously good that
banks will no longer be nicking all the good physics PhDs.

From: Tamas K Papp on
On Tue, 23 Feb 2010 09:43:04 +0000, Tim Bradshaw wrote:

> On 2010-02-22 21:56:42 +0000, Tamas K Papp said:
>
>> To a certain extent, I agree with you. But the problem is very hard,
>> and it requires thinking in terms of economic models (vs purely
>> statistical ones), and general equilibrium (instead of partial
>> equilibrium concepts). I don't think that anyone without serious
>> training in economics has a chance. And moreover, progress is quite
>> slow, at least on the scale of financial companies. They don't have
>> the incentive to employ people who do basic research, so I don't blame
>> them.
>
> I think that's what disapoints me. My view is that someone who really
> is a physicist is someone who would look at some problem domain (not
> just a physics domain) and make a really good stab at understanding it
> properly, more-or-less whatever it was. Not someone who would just
> cobble together some naïve and obviously wrong model and be happy with

I think that you may have an idealized image about physicists. I can
understand why, since many physicists are people of scientific
integrity. But getting a degree in physics does not imply that a
person will behave as a good scientist for the rest of his/her life.

>> Nowadays, most universities have a graduate program in "financial
>> engineering" or similar, and graduates from these programs are starting
>> to displace physicists (some would argue that they have already done so
>> in certain areas). Nowadays, students who want to work as quants can
>> go straight to these programs, so physicists can concentrate on
>> physics, which is just as well.
>
> I don't know if this is a good or a bad thing. Obviously good that
> banks will no longer be nicking all the good physics PhDs.

I don't think that banks ever got the good physicists --- the latter
_want_ to do physics, you can't just buy them off for some back-office
drudge work. I think that banks mostly got people with a degree but
no burning interest in the field. And actually, I don't think that
they would like to employ someone who would make a good scientist, it
is a totally different environment which encourages minor innovations
but discourages major ones. If you have the mind of a scientist, the
work done by quants would appear to be extremely dull.

Tamas
From: Tim Bradshaw on
On 2010-02-23 10:32:24 +0000, Tamas K Papp said:

> I think that you may have an idealized image about physicists. I can
> understand why, since many physicists are people of scientific
> integrity. But getting a degree in physics does not imply that a
> person will behave as a good scientist for the rest of his/her life.

I don't think so. I don't really think it's to do with integrity, I
think it's to do with curiosity. Or may be I do think so, I'm not sure.

> And actually, I don't think that
> they would like to employ someone who would make a good scientist, it
> is a totally different environment which encourages minor innovations
> but discourages major ones. If you have the mind of a scientist, the
> work done by quants would appear to be extremely dull.

That may well be a factor. Dull but well-paid I guess encourages you
not to think too hard.

From: Pillsy on
On Feb 23, 5:32 am, Tamas K Papp <tkp...(a)gmail.com> wrote:

> On Tue, 23 Feb 2010 09:43:04 +0000, Tim Bradshaw wrote:
[...]
> > I don't know if this is a good or a bad thing.  Obviously good that
> > banks will no longer be nicking all the good physics PhDs.

> I don't think that banks ever got the good physicists --- the latter
> _want_ to do physics, you can't just buy them off for some back-office
> drudge work.  I think that banks mostly got people with a degree but
> no burning interest in the field.  

Speaking as someone who gave up on a career in theoretical physics and
spent some time looking for a job as a quant, I think this is
essentially correct. I got my PhD and then went on to a post-doc which
I basically hated so I started looking for other jobs. The only part
of the post-doc I enjoyed was the designing and implementing the Monte
Carlo simulations we used (in CL! :)), but in retrospect, I think the
underlying research problem was just not that interesting. Maybe it
even qualified as back-office drudge work.

Once I made my decision to leave academia, well, I'm in the NYC area,
so there were quite a few finance jobs that looked like reasonable
fits. They paid well, but my primary motivation was, "Goddamn but I
don't want to do physics anymore."

I ended up in a totally different part of the private sector, but
based on my own experience and the experiences of friends who ended up
in finance, the banks were getting people with a burning *disinterest*
in the field.

Cheers,
Pillsy