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From: Ste on 23 Feb 2010 00:16 On 22 Feb, 04:07, PD <thedraperfam...(a)gmail.com> wrote: > On Feb 21, 6:38 pm, Ste <ste_ro...(a)hotmail.com> wrote: > > > > > > Hmmm. So there appears to be two models for what has happened in such > > > > > cases: > > > > > 1) the student who went through those classes had reason and good > > > > > sense *stripped* of them to the point where they would believe > > > > > nonsense, and this result is inherent to the process undergone. > > > > > 2) the student who went through those classes learned something new, > > > > > including how to test unambiguously for extra dimensions (regardless > > > > > whether it has been yet determined by test) and what the motivations > > > > > for even considering them might be, so that what seems like nonsense > > > > > to the novice no longer seems like nonsense. > > > > > I dare say there is a third. The student went into the class without > > > > having any "good sense" in the first place, and therefore they were > > > > willing to accept anything that they were told there. > > > > Thereby implying that those who have expertise in the field are those > > > who lacked good sense to begin with and whose common feature of > > > gullibility is the parameter for success in the field. Nice. > > > I have suggested that this is a third possibility. I also note you > > read this outside of the qualifying statement I made immediately after > > the above (now shown further below), the essence of which is to say > > that the hobble of a purely mathematical approach may be that the > > maths ends up totally at large, unconstrained by the requirements of > > (and lacking the further inspiration of) a qualitatively physical > > explanation. > > The "may be" could well be a concern of yours, but it does not appear > to be borne out by fact. As I've repeated to you several times, the > prevailing theories DO all have underlying physical conceptual > frameworks. > They are not all cogs-and-levers of the form that you would like to > see, but that does not mean that they are purely mathematical > exercises. > It's remarkable that you have this apparent false dichotomy of cogs- > and-levers and, failing that, purely mathematics. I haven't really argued such a dichotomy. What I have said is that things like "backwards causation" are just totally irreconcilable with any physical reality as I know it, and it was you who then characterised this as "cogs and levers" and small-minded. And as I've said, repeatedly, what you call my "cogs and levers" approach is far more flexible than your caricature would imply. > > > Conversely, you also imply that those who have good sense to begin > > > with, and who do not suffer from gullibility, are naturally OUT OF the > > > field. > > > I am suggesting that those in the field may be selected by factors > > that are not obvious, but which undermine their collective claims to > > credibility, reliability, and objectivity on the broader questions of > > their field of study. > > As you wish. Basically, you're saying that you don't believe anything > that group of people put forward, because you can convince yourself > that any such group of people self-select to be nonsense-generators > (especially since they disagree with you). This puts yourself in > admirable position of being impervious to becoming convinced that > you're wrong, at least at the hands of any representative of this > group of people. You're characterising my position as being far more hardline than it is. What I'm saying, at it's most simple, is that I'm not willing to simply take the word of "authority". Separate from that, I've also made it clear that I have certain axioms that are not in principle unquestionable or irrefutable, but which would require such an overwhelming amount of evidence to overturn that they are, in practice, probably irrefutable. > > Incidentally, I once heard a fictional story that a mathematician and > > a gangster are both witnessing a coin toss. The coin shows heads ten > > times in a row. They are asked to estimate the probability of the next > > result. The gangster says "almost certainly heads". The mathematician > > guesses the gangster's logic, laughs, and says "an equal probability > > of heads or tails - the past results do not influence the future > > probabilities". The gangster suggests "it does if the coin is > > weighted". And regardless of the true nature of the coin, both gave > > answers that were heavily contingent on unstated assumptions (most of > > which will have been wholly implicit and unexamined as far as the > > conscious mind is concerned), and both raised issues that the other > > will almost certainly not have considered before giving an answer. > > Precisely! And you will note that there is an experimental test to > check which of these two models, including the presumptions of each of > their models, is at work. Note that it is not possible to determine ON > THE FACE of it I'll forgive this atrocious pun. ;) > which of these two models is correct or even more > likely, even if you have a hunch or a personal preference for one. But > both the gangster and the mathematician have put forward models with a > testable prediction. In particular, if you tossed it another 100 > times, the two theories would have remarkably different predictions, > and the *coin itself* will tell you which of the two models is a > better description of it. That's not true. A further 100 tosses would not discern definitively between the two theories, for the outcome would still be technically consistent with either theory. > Notice how different this approach is from sitting back and trying to > decide whether mathematicians (or gangsters) are groups of people who > self-select themselves into delusions, and therefore their models are > not to be trusted. Why do that kind of nonsense, when you can simply > ask the coin to show its colors? Because in the real world it is not simply a case of flipping the coin an infinite number of times. Let's face it, we both submit to evidence - that cannot be the difference between us. > > > > Of course I'd rather avoid saying that these students have "no sense". > > > > I'm much more willing to believe that they are simply not concerned > > > > with a practical-mechanical explanation, possibly because beforehand > > > > they don't have any well-developed intuitions for it, and secondly > > > > it's vogue in science at the moment to emphasise purely mathematical > > > > explanations over practical-mechanical explanations. > > > > > > Now, how might one test which of these two claims is what has really > > > > > happened? > > > > > > Let me suggest one. If (1) were the case, then because of the inherent > > > > > flaw in the process, then it would have likely been observed up to > > > > > this point that there is a whole class of former students who have > > > > > come to believe some principle that is objectively falsifiable. It > > > > > would be falsifiable perhaps by the construction of a whole class of > > > > > devices whose design is based on that principle and which (because the > > > > > principle is false) obviously don't work in practice. Perhaps you can > > > > > point to some cases like that where devices with designs based on > > > > > relativity or quantum mechanics simply do not work because the > > > > > principles are wrong. Or is it your claim that all such devices happen > > > > > to work by accident, even though the design principles are wrong? > > > > > If you're suggesting that it's improbable that a theory could work not > > > > because its premises were correct, but because it simply promoted > > > > correct behaviours, then wonders why religion has fared so well. > > > > I don't know of any practical, artificially created devices that are > > > used in everyday life whose designs are based on religious principles. > > > Do you? > > > But the form of the question is designed to confirm your > > preconception. > > I don't think so. Perhaps if you gave an example from the most recent > century of physics. I'm not arguing that religious principles have been used directly to create "practical, artificial devices". What I did suggest was that a theory can work because it promotes correct behaviours, independent of the truth of its explicit premises. Incidentally, for a long time I never understood the role of "oath- helpers" in the context of the common law historically, until I realised the religious significance of the oath - that is, you were putting your eternal soul on the line if you didn't tell the truth. And even though the premises of religious beliefs are obviously ludicrous, in this case they served a social function of encouraging honesty amongst those who believed. And if a notoriously God-fearing member of the community was willing to put his own soul on the line to support the word of the witness, then that was compelling reason to accept the testimony of the witness. > > If we are to judge theories based on their tendency to bring about > > desirable outcomes (which I think is one of the unspoken assumptions > > in your question) then it does not seem to me that a theory's premises > > need to be factually correct; only that it produces the desired > > outcome. Which is what I said in the first place. > > Whether a theory's premises are factually correct IS DETERMINED by > whether it produces accurate predictions of measurements. That's how > science makes that determination in the first place. Not really. Once you factor in technological constraints, margins of error, empirical constants, domains of applicability, sheer complexity, implict knowledge, and probably innumerable other issues, it becomes very difficult to discern whether the explicit body of knowledge is true or whether it simply produces sufficiently correct behaviours without there being any truth to its explicit form. > If two theories make the same predictions in a given experiment, then > the two theories are mined to find the place where they make DIFFERENT > predictions, and that becomes the place where the measurement is made, > because that's where the discernment is to be obtained. And it is via > this channel that you determine which set of premises are correct. > There is no other way to reliably make that determination. We both agree that reality is the final arbiter, but I've already said that I think you fail to capture how science is really practiced. > > If we approach both science and religion from that direction, then it > > leads to some interesting questions and some interesting explanations. > > > > > In > > > > any event, I'm willing to accept Feynman's argument, basically that QM > > > > amounts to a workable mathematical model, and makes no claim to any > > > > truth more fundamental than that. > > > > This under-represents Feynman's position. A deeper examination of what > > > he wrote, other than what has been sound-bitten for your viewing > > > pleasure, shows that he actually is responsible for the underlying > > > physical explanation behind the math. > > > Well I'm not giving a comprehensive treatment of Feynman's position, > > and on some points I would strongly disagree with him. Indeed, I'm > > pretty sure that at one time or another he had said that anything > > beyond a mathematical model was superfluous to physics. > > I don't recall anything ever written by him that said that. Reference > please. If not available, then permit me to consider your statement to > be unreliable propaganda. I'm afraid I couldn't find anything definitive after spending quite a bit of time looking, so if you don't recognise this as Feynman's position then I'd probably rather move on to a different point. I did however stumble over this, which you may find interesting as I did: http://www.friesian.com/feynman.htm > > But one cannot > > criticise him in that he seemed fairly open about his axiomatic > > position and, from what I've read, did not seem to represent the > > mathematical models as being anything other than what they are. > > > > > > > > The point is, your argument boils down to "the only people I see > > > > > > > convinced of alternate dimensions are the people who believe in > > > > > > > alternate dimensions," but that's a circular argument. > > > > > > > It's not circular. It's a simple statement that there is, to a certain > > > > > > degree, a self-selection process, wherein the people who have a > > > > > > susceptibility to these sorts of arguments are precisely the ones who > > > > > > adopt and build on them. > > > > > > Or, to couch this in terms of the second option listed above, this > > > > > selection process happens to find those who are susceptible to > > > > > learning something new and which is in conflict with their incoming > > > > > presuppositions? > > > > > I really don't think everyone has particularly strong preconceptions > > > > (i.e. they'll believe anything), and nor do I think everyone has a > > > > taste for challenging authority. As I say, my argument is that the pre- > > > > existing interests, aptitudes, and psychology of students probably > > > > determines to a large extent what they're willing to accept as > > > > credible and coherent. > > > > > To identify a relatively small minority of people (that is, > > > > physicists), who have necessarily been weeded from a very large > > > > population, and then appeal to a further subset of those in order to > > > > somehow prove that additional dimensions are credible is just silly. > > > > Oh, come on. Scientific theories don't rise to the top because their > > > proponents are just predisposed to be gullible and are willing to > > > believe anything. > > > You know there's far more to it than that. Surely you've had enough > > discussions with me to know that I'm not making such a simplistic > > argument. > > > > Science doesn't judge truth on the basis of what > > > you're willing to believe. > > > Fundamentally, it does precisely that. > > No, sir. > I've discussed this at length with you, and your mathematician vs > gambler parable above points to where this falls apart. I don't know whether you misunderstood my meaning, but accepted scientific knowledge does fundamentally come down to people's willingness to believe and nothing else. As I've said, we both submit to the external world, but you don't seem to recognise the limitations of this. > > > Things aren't true in science just because > > > scientists are willing to believe them. This is the point of > > > experimental test -- to consult NATURE on what should be believed and > > > not believed. > > > But then we come back to "the theory deciding what you observe". > > As I've said, this does not happen, Einstein's bon mot > notwithstanding. You keep repeating this statement as though it were > an accepted maxim. It's not. I'm not repeating it as though it is accepted. I'm repeating it as it characterises my position so well, but I see no sign that you acknowledge that there is even a modicum of sense to what I'm saying, which is unfortunate. > > People tend to find a way of consulting the external world in a way > > that is consistent with their preconceptions. > > Not scientists. Haha. Bollocks! > This is certainly true for you, and you've both > confessed it and demonstrated it. Scientists try to break out of that > time and time and time again. It is undoubtedly true for me to a certain extent, although I generally consider myself to have intellectual integrity and a fair amount of self-awareness. As for "scientists trying to break out of it", I think this is just a ridiculous generalisation about the conduct of scientists, and in any event says nothing about whether they successfully break free (they don't, of course). I don't know whether you're just a bulldog of your profession Paul, in which case it's not going to do any good to break you down on these statements (because it's a waste of my time if I fail, and if I succeed it leaves you alienated), but in a lot of ways you seem to typify the very problem you say science needs to overcome: the problem of preconceptions and closed-mindedness. And unlike me, you appear not to acknowledge that preconceptions permeate and probably dominate science - indeed I dare say that the more important the question, the more the answer is permeated by preconceptions. > > > I understand your contention, that surely any experimental test should > > > be accountable by a theory which contains principles that ANYONE can > > > believe, not just those who are predisposed to be more open-minded. > > > I'm not necessarily saying this. What I am saying is that there is > > potentially a fallacy in appealing to the opinions of scientists. > > It's not a matter of opinion. It's a matter of what the product of the > scientific method is, which is designed to *remove* opinion. Granted, > this process doesn't work perfectly. It doesn't work at all in that respect. > But it does beg the question of whether the *method* is the one to be > pursued to determine the truth. You've said you're not sure you > believe it is, but you don't have a better way of proceeding. Because like I say Paul, I'm not here to sell anything. After hours of chiselling, conservatives always fall back on the question "is there any better way?", and of course the very method you're espousing may well be better if only its proponents actually acknowledged it's systematic deficits and failings. > > > However, historically this hasn't panned out, and you have yet to > > > provide a proof of principle. > > > But are we implicitly back to a test of "achieving a desirable > > outcome" again? Is it possible that people would reject the truth > > because it would lead to an undesirable outcome? > > Anything is possible. Is it likely? Here you have a guess. Not really. I think you'll find the psychological literature is awash with data that points to cognitive biases that, I suppose at a very broad level, all tend to have in common the theme of putting those beliefs which are desirable above those which are factual. > So summarizing briefly, you would like to propose that investigation > should be structured in such a way that experimental data should be > accountable by a model with principles that are believable by ANYBODY. That's not an accurate summary. > And yet at the same time, you say such an investigative structure > might possibly be rejected because it leads to an undesirable outcome. > Thus, you have no evidence that your investigative approach is even > possible, whether there is any historical precedent for it ever having > been pursued, or that it was rejected in the manner you fear. I can only assume that you've misunderstood, though I'm struggling to identify where. I'm not advocating any particular alternative investigative approach. I'm making a criticism of your characterisation of the existing approach. If you somehow think I've described an alternative approach, then you've wildly misunderstood what I've written and indeed what I intended to say. > > > > whereas for me I'm more likely to think of a pendulum or > > > > basically some sort of clock. And then, when one mentions "time > > > > slowing down", people who imagined the "t-axis" may be inclined to > > > > develop the view that time has "fundamentally" slowed down (because > > > > the mechanical details of how time is measured is not actually within > > > > the realm of their primary interests), whereas I'm more likely to say > > > > "well, what is to stop the clock slowing down without time itself > > > > slowing down?", or even "what if it just *appears to the eye* that the > > > > clock has slowed down?". > > > > And yet there are tests for those questions as well. > > > For example, let's suppose "What if there is something that is going > > > on that is slowing the clock down without time itself slowing down?" > > > (First of all, physicists don't say time itself slows down. This is a > > > comic-book statement that does not represent the conceptual picture > > > physicists have for this.) > > > You know Paul I will hear your arguments if you contend that you > > personally disagree with a particular statement or interpretation, but > > you can't simply claim that everything that you don't agree with > > amounts to a "comic book treatment of physics". I can't recall a > > single occasion where you've said "some physicists may hold that view, > > but I disagree and my view is...". > > If you were talking about any subject on which there is any > substantial controversy, then I'd be relating that. > However, on the stuff that you are talking about, and in particular > special relativity, there really isn't much controversy about what > special relativity actually says or means. > There is plenty of controversy about *other theories* which may > compete with special relativity, but not about what special relativity > says. I don't think there's much controversy about the mathematial form of SR, but there certainly seems to be a fair amount of conceptual vagueness. > There is also plenty of superficial claptrap available on the web that > inaccurately represents what special relativity says, and plenty of > popularizations that render the statements in sufficiently vague > language that misinterpretation is quite common, if not completely > assured. Yes, those darn comic books. > > Indeed, according to what you'd have me believe, respectable > > scientists seem to spend so much time writing "popularisations", > > "comic books", and "falsehoods to entice the reader", it makes you > > wonder how they have ever got around to doing real science, and indeed > > no wonder that the average person does not understand when they spend > > so much time consuming bullshit which I presume you justify on the > > basis that the man on the street "can't handle the truth" and even > > people otherwise interested to learn physics would find the truth > > incomprehensible and aversive if delivered from the outset in an > > unvarnished form. > > Oh, but you have it completely backwards. Scientists spend relatively > little time writing popularizations, comic-book presentations, and > enticements to the reader that risk reader confusion. However, that > seems to be the majority of what you've read. If instead you read some > of the materials that scientists actually spend most of their time > producing -- and I've recommended a small, entry-level sample of that > -- you'd find many of these problems averted. I cannot help that you > choose to read rotten materials, and that you have the temerity to say > that appears to be all that is available to you. I was of course being sarcastic Paul. The real issue is that your answer for virtually everything you don't agree with is that I must have got it from a comic book (or some other publication that it in some way not meant for serious scientific consumption) and that it totally misrepresents the views of "physicists" (who are always referred to as some sort of homogenous group, with the entirety of whom you are totally familiar). > > > This question would lead to the following > > > test. If something is happening to the clock, then surely varying the > > > operating principle of the clock or choosing clocks of vastly > > > different construction would produce a different time-slowing effect. > > > After all, vibration affects some clocks and not other clocks, for > > > example. So if a theory predicts a certain amount of rate change, and > > > that rate change is observed in 19 different varieties of clocks of > > > all different operational principles, then it seems unlikely that what > > > is going on is some effect that is altering all these different > > > mechanisms in EXACTLY THE SAME WAY. Or one can even do this more > > > succinctly. If I predict that a clock's rate will see a certain rate > > > effect, regardless of clock mechanism, and if I RANDOMLY select a > > > clock out of a pool of four dozen clocks of widely different > > > operational principles, then the chances of the prediction being > > > exactly right for that randomly selected clock is quite low. > > > But of course this presumes that there exist a variety of suitable > > clocks that measure time by methods that employ qualitatively > > different principles. > > And there are! Would you like a small list? > *Mechanical oscillators, such as spring-based mechanisms. > *Potential well oscillators, using any of a variety of conservative > forces. > *Particle populations with well-determined half-lives > *Atomic clocks > *AC circuits > *Digital oscillators > *Optical oscillators When we are at the level where the fundamental principles of the universe is in question, I think you underestimate the difficulty in finding a diverse set of clocks which are not all subject to the same fundamental principles.
From: Ste on 23 Feb 2010 00:19 On 22 Feb, 14:54, PD <thedraperfam...(a)gmail.com> wrote: > On Feb 21, 4:23 pm, Ste <ste_ro...(a)hotmail.com> wrote: > > > > > > > On 21 Feb, 21:40, PD <thedraperfam...(a)gmail.com> wrote: > > > > On Feb 20, 9:36 am, Ste <ste_ro...(a)hotmail.com> wrote: > > > > > On 20 Feb, 05:27, "Peter Webb" <webbfam...(a)DIESPAMDIEoptusnet.com.au> > > > > wrote: > > > > > > If you're suggesting that it's improbable that a theory could work not > > > > > because its premises were correct, but because it simply promoted > > > > > correct behaviours, then wonders why religion has fared so well. In > > > > > any event, I'm willing to accept Feynman's argument, basically that QM > > > > > amounts to a workable mathematical model, and makes no claim to any > > > > > truth more fundamental than that. > > > > > > ________________________________ > > > > > The whole of physics is like that, not just QM. Physics just gives us the > > > > > eqns by which the universe functions. It does not make claim to any more > > > > > truths fundamental than the eqns; the rest is just philosophy. > > > > > > Your problem of course is that you don't understand the eqns, so you don't > > > > > understand physics. > > > > > On the contrary, my problem is that physics seems to have dispensed > > > > with the physical. Yet it is the physical, as opposed to the > > > > mathematical, that I am interested in. That is, the qualitative > > > > physical concepts - what I've referred to as an explanation at the > > > > the "practical-mechanical" level - that would seem to me to > > > > distinguish physics from maths are largely absent, and indeed seem to > > > > be systematically deprecated and devalued. > > > > > And on top of this, there is an ideological arrogance on the part of > > > > many in physics that is distasteful in light of their claims to > > > > "objectivity" and "adherence to scientific principles". > > > > > Indeed, your argument that "physics does not make claim to any truths > > > > more fundamental than the eqns" is, itself, a philosophical position > > > > and a statement of ideology - even though you refer disparagingly to > > > > "the rest" as "just philosophy". > > > > > This ideological position becomes even more detectable in the context > > > > of grandiose claims that "physics gives us the eqns by which the > > > > universe functions". > > > > > Not only is that a total falsehood when interpreted literally and in > > > > the context of history, but moreover I know from the context that you > > > > do not mean "regrettably, physics has only given us the eqns..." or > > > > even "physics has given us the eqns, and I'm unable to say if there is > > > > a more complete description", what you really mean is "these eqns > > > > provide a complete and final description of the physical world, and I > > > > hold that nothing else is relevant to physics and nor am I concerned > > > > with it". > > > > > And what I object to is not the content of these staments, but the > > > > constant concealment of your ideological beliefs beneath allusions to > > > > objectivity and ideological and philosophical independence. > > > > I note with interest that you at one point appeared to be interested > > > in engaging in learning how it is that the speed of light could be the > > > same, regardless of the motion of the source, or how it is that > > > simultaneity could be frame-dependent. But your interest in the > > > physics here quickly waned and you fell back to fussing about the > > > sociology of scientists. What accounts for your short attention span > > > for the physics? Note that in the discussions I was giving you, there > > > was practically no math in favor of presentation of basic physical > > > principles and their conceptual implications. > > > Actually I was still interested in discussing the invariance of 'c', > > and I do still have questions. Unfortunately, both threads appear to > > have been partly taken over by other posters arguing completely > > different points, and much of my own time and attention has once again > > returned to addressing the quips, implicit insults, and general > > "sociological" points raised. > > So let's get back to the physics. > You had an array of sources and detectors. > I suggested that the sources can be something real, like a flashbulb > or a firecracker, which emits a very brief pulse of light in all > directions. > The detectors will be something that triggers when a pulse of light > arrives at the detector. We can use a photodiode or a photomultiplier > tube with hemispherical photocathode if you like. > With this kind of arrangement, it is certainly possible to ask which > detectors will trigger before, at the same time as, or after other > detectors, though that answer may vary from reference frame to > reference frame. > Do you want to ask that question regarding a particular set-up of > detectors and sources? Yes, but I think I'll start another thread when I've had a bit of time to sit down and think about the problem.
From: BURT on 23 Feb 2010 00:32 A frame can travel behind light. Mitch Raemsch
From: mpalenik on 23 Feb 2010 03:02 On Feb 23, 12:16 am, Ste <ste_ro...(a)hotmail.com> wrote: > On 22 Feb, 04:07, PD <thedraperfam...(a)gmail.com> wrote: > > > > > > > On Feb 21, 6:38 pm, Ste <ste_ro...(a)hotmail.com> wrote: > > > > > > > Hmmm. So there appears to be two models for what has happened in such > > > > > > cases: > > > > > > 1) the student who went through those classes had reason and good > > > > > > sense *stripped* of them to the point where they would believe > > > > > > nonsense, and this result is inherent to the process undergone. > > > > > > 2) the student who went through those classes learned something new, > > > > > > including how to test unambiguously for extra dimensions (regardless > > > > > > whether it has been yet determined by test) and what the motivations > > > > > > for even considering them might be, so that what seems like nonsense > > > > > > to the novice no longer seems like nonsense. > > > > > > I dare say there is a third. The student went into the class without > > > > > having any "good sense" in the first place, and therefore they were > > > > > willing to accept anything that they were told there. > > > > > Thereby implying that those who have expertise in the field are those > > > > who lacked good sense to begin with and whose common feature of > > > > gullibility is the parameter for success in the field. Nice. > > > > I have suggested that this is a third possibility. I also note you > > > read this outside of the qualifying statement I made immediately after > > > the above (now shown further below), the essence of which is to say > > > that the hobble of a purely mathematical approach may be that the > > > maths ends up totally at large, unconstrained by the requirements of > > > (and lacking the further inspiration of) a qualitatively physical > > > explanation. > > > The "may be" could well be a concern of yours, but it does not appear > > to be borne out by fact. As I've repeated to you several times, the > > prevailing theories DO all have underlying physical conceptual > > frameworks. > > They are not all cogs-and-levers of the form that you would like to > > see, but that does not mean that they are purely mathematical > > exercises. > > It's remarkable that you have this apparent false dichotomy of cogs- > > and-levers and, failing that, purely mathematics. > > I haven't really argued such a dichotomy. What I have said is that > things like "backwards causation" are just totally irreconcilable with > any physical reality as I know it, and it was you who then > characterised this as "cogs and levers" and small-minded. And as I've > said, repeatedly, what you call my "cogs and levers" approach is far > more flexible than your caricature would imply. > > > > > > > > > Conversely, you also imply that those who have good sense to begin > > > > with, and who do not suffer from gullibility, are naturally OUT OF the > > > > field. > > > > I am suggesting that those in the field may be selected by factors > > > that are not obvious, but which undermine their collective claims to > > > credibility, reliability, and objectivity on the broader questions of > > > their field of study. > > > As you wish. Basically, you're saying that you don't believe anything > > that group of people put forward, because you can convince yourself > > that any such group of people self-select to be nonsense-generators > > (especially since they disagree with you). This puts yourself in > > admirable position of being impervious to becoming convinced that > > you're wrong, at least at the hands of any representative of this > > group of people. > > You're characterising my position as being far more hardline than it > is. What I'm saying, at it's most simple, is that I'm not willing to > simply take the word of "authority". Separate from that, I've also > made it clear that I have certain axioms that are not in principle > unquestionable or irrefutable, but which would require such an > overwhelming amount of evidence to overturn that they are, in > practice, probably irrefutable. > > > > > > > > Incidentally, I once heard a fictional story that a mathematician and > > > a gangster are both witnessing a coin toss. The coin shows heads ten > > > times in a row. They are asked to estimate the probability of the next > > > result. The gangster says "almost certainly heads". The mathematician > > > guesses the gangster's logic, laughs, and says "an equal probability > > > of heads or tails - the past results do not influence the future > > > probabilities". The gangster suggests "it does if the coin is > > > weighted". And regardless of the true nature of the coin, both gave > > > answers that were heavily contingent on unstated assumptions (most of > > > which will have been wholly implicit and unexamined as far as the > > > conscious mind is concerned), and both raised issues that the other > > > will almost certainly not have considered before giving an answer. > > > Precisely! And you will note that there is an experimental test to > > check which of these two models, including the presumptions of each of > > their models, is at work. Note that it is not possible to determine ON > > THE FACE of it > > I'll forgive this atrocious pun. ;) > > > which of these two models is correct or even more > > likely, even if you have a hunch or a personal preference for one. But > > both the gangster and the mathematician have put forward models with a > > testable prediction. In particular, if you tossed it another 100 > > times, the two theories would have remarkably different predictions, > > and the *coin itself* will tell you which of the two models is a > > better description of it. > > That's not true. A further 100 tosses would not discern definitively > between the two theories, for the outcome would still be technically > consistent with either theory. In fact, though, you can calculate the probability that either hypothesis is correct if the coin toss comes out a certain way after 100 tosses. 100% heads, for example, would put you well past a 95% confidence interval. And in fact, when experimentalists publish their data, they do also publish such confidence intervals. > > > Notice how different this approach is from sitting back and trying to > > decide whether mathematicians (or gangsters) are groups of people who > > self-select themselves into delusions, and therefore their models are > > not to be trusted. Why do that kind of nonsense, when you can simply > > ask the coin to show its colors? > > Because in the real world it is not simply a case of flipping the coin > an infinite number of times. Let's face it, we both submit to evidence > - that cannot be the difference between us. Actually, you tend to hand-wave away any evidence you don't like as 100 years of bad experiments, as in the case of the Michaelson Morely experiment and others like it with similar, albiet more refined, steups, which you were insisting had problems for a long time. Perhaps the difference is, we understand the experimental evidence and you don't. > > > > > > > > > > Of course I'd rather avoid saying that these students have "no sense". > > > > > I'm much more willing to believe that they are simply not concerned > > > > > with a practical-mechanical explanation, possibly because beforehand > > > > > they don't have any well-developed intuitions for it, and secondly > > > > > it's vogue in science at the moment to emphasise purely mathematical > > > > > explanations over practical-mechanical explanations. > > > > > > > Now, how might one test which of these two claims is what has really > > > > > > happened? > > > > > > > Let me suggest one. If (1) were the case, then because of the inherent > > > > > > flaw in the process, then it would have likely been observed up to > > > > > > this point that there is a whole class of former students who have > > > > > > come to believe some principle that is objectively falsifiable. It > > > > > > would be falsifiable perhaps by the construction of a whole class of > > > > > > devices whose design is based on that principle and which (because the > > > > > > principle is false) obviously don't work in practice. Perhaps you can > > > > > > point to some cases like that where devices with designs based on > > > > > > relativity or quantum mechanics simply do not work because the > > > > > > principles are wrong. Or is it your claim that all such devices happen > > > > > > to work by accident, even though the design principles are wrong? > > > > > > If you're suggesting that it's improbable that a theory could work not > > > > > because its premises were correct, but because it simply promoted > > > > > correct behaviours, then wonders why religion has fared so well. > > > > > I don't know of any practical, artificially created devices that are > > > > used in everyday life whose designs are based on religious principles. > > > > Do you? > > > > But the form of the question is designed to confirm your > > > preconception. > > > I don't think so. Perhaps if you gave an example from the most recent > > century of physics. > > I'm not arguing that religious principles have been used directly to > create "practical, artificial devices". What I did suggest was that a > theory can work because it promotes correct behaviours, independent of > the truth of its explicit premises. So, for example, praying to Vishnu is a correct behavior, whether or not he exists? <snip> > > > > If we are to judge theories based on their tendency to bring about > > > desirable outcomes (which I think is one of the unspoken assumptions > > > in your question) then it does not seem to me that a theory's premises > > > need to be factually correct; only that it produces the desired > > > outcome. Which is what I said in the first place. > > > Whether a theory's premises are factually correct IS DETERMINED by > > whether it produces accurate predictions of measurements. That's how > > science makes that determination in the first place. > > Not really. Once you factor in technological constraints, margins of > error, empirical constants, domains of applicability, sheer > complexity, implict knowledge, and probably innumerable other issues, > it becomes very difficult to discern whether the explicit body of > knowledge is true or whether it simply produces sufficiently correct > behaviours without there being any truth to its explicit form. > And, if you can disprove a current theory, which means 1) coming up with a theory that does something the old theory can't 2) demonstrate that the new predictions you make are correct If you can supplant an old theory with a new, better one, you can 1) publish it, 2) gain great scientific acclaim, and 3) possibly win a lot of money. If I could disprove Special Relativity, that would be great. I'd get a nobel prize. But there are over 100 years of experiments that need to be explained with any new theory and it needs to have something new that relativity doesn't have. The scientific community and scientific publications aren't afraid of publishing new ideas. Nature even published an article on homeopathy once (with a disclaimer at the beginning) because the experimental setup seemed to be perfect, and yet, it gave these incredible, surprising results, that even after you dilute out all of a solute, water still somehow retains the properties of that solute. This prompted other scientists to try to reproduce those results, and when none could, the original team was investigated, and it turned out there were researchers who were (perhaps by accident) causing errors in the experiment. The reason the scientists here haven't accepted you with open arms isn't because you're preaching something we don't like to hear, it's because: 1) You claimed that over 100 years of experiments are in error without any actual, logical explanation of what that error was 2) You 3) You refuse to do any quantitative predictions, which would immediately tell you whether or not a given modification to a theory is wrong (to use the gravity example, if I said that gravity falls off as 1/r instead of 1/r^2, that would have direct, obvious implications to the real world that would be easily testable/measurable). 4) You immediately assume that because certain physics doesn't work the way *you personally* want it to, that it is because science is run like a religion. That *your personal* philosophies are necessarily the correct ones, and anything that doesn't fit in with *your personal viewpoint* must NECESSARILY mean that science is wrong. 5) It is very clear that you don't have a good understanding of relativity or the concepts behind it. Even simply from the fact that you're incapable of correctly doing the thought experiments that you post here by yourself. It is necessary that you correctly understand a theory before you go around pointing out its flaws. The funny thing is, you accuse so many people of "wrong thinking," because obviously, education must cause wrong thinking, and yet, this is all based on the fact that our thinking does not conform to *your specific thinking*. You never consider that it might be your lack of experience, your lack of education, your lack of knowledge, and your personal inability to recocile certain concepts that's the problem? Instead, it must be that everybody else has the problem. . .
From: PD on 23 Feb 2010 09:55 On Feb 22, 11:19 pm, Ste <ste_ro...(a)hotmail.com> wrote: > On 22 Feb, 14:54, PD <thedraperfam...(a)gmail.com> wrote: > > > > > On Feb 21, 4:23 pm, Ste <ste_ro...(a)hotmail.com> wrote: > > > > On 21 Feb, 21:40, PD <thedraperfam...(a)gmail.com> wrote: > > > > > On Feb 20, 9:36 am, Ste <ste_ro...(a)hotmail.com> wrote: > > > > > > On 20 Feb, 05:27, "Peter Webb" <webbfam...(a)DIESPAMDIEoptusnet.com..au> > > > > > wrote: > > > > > > > If you're suggesting that it's improbable that a theory could work not > > > > > > because its premises were correct, but because it simply promoted > > > > > > correct behaviours, then wonders why religion has fared so well.. In > > > > > > any event, I'm willing to accept Feynman's argument, basically that QM > > > > > > amounts to a workable mathematical model, and makes no claim to any > > > > > > truth more fundamental than that. > > > > > > > ________________________________ > > > > > > The whole of physics is like that, not just QM. Physics just gives us the > > > > > > eqns by which the universe functions. It does not make claim to any more > > > > > > truths fundamental than the eqns; the rest is just philosophy. > > > > > > > Your problem of course is that you don't understand the eqns, so you don't > > > > > > understand physics. > > > > > > On the contrary, my problem is that physics seems to have dispensed > > > > > with the physical. Yet it is the physical, as opposed to the > > > > > mathematical, that I am interested in. That is, the qualitative > > > > > physical concepts - what I've referred to as an explanation at the > > > > > the "practical-mechanical" level - that would seem to me to > > > > > distinguish physics from maths are largely absent, and indeed seem to > > > > > be systematically deprecated and devalued. > > > > > > And on top of this, there is an ideological arrogance on the part of > > > > > many in physics that is distasteful in light of their claims to > > > > > "objectivity" and "adherence to scientific principles". > > > > > > Indeed, your argument that "physics does not make claim to any truths > > > > > more fundamental than the eqns" is, itself, a philosophical position > > > > > and a statement of ideology - even though you refer disparagingly to > > > > > "the rest" as "just philosophy". > > > > > > This ideological position becomes even more detectable in the context > > > > > of grandiose claims that "physics gives us the eqns by which the > > > > > universe functions". > > > > > > Not only is that a total falsehood when interpreted literally and in > > > > > the context of history, but moreover I know from the context that you > > > > > do not mean "regrettably, physics has only given us the eqns..." or > > > > > even "physics has given us the eqns, and I'm unable to say if there is > > > > > a more complete description", what you really mean is "these eqns > > > > > provide a complete and final description of the physical world, and I > > > > > hold that nothing else is relevant to physics and nor am I concerned > > > > > with it". > > > > > > And what I object to is not the content of these staments, but the > > > > > constant concealment of your ideological beliefs beneath allusions to > > > > > objectivity and ideological and philosophical independence. > > > > > I note with interest that you at one point appeared to be interested > > > > in engaging in learning how it is that the speed of light could be the > > > > same, regardless of the motion of the source, or how it is that > > > > simultaneity could be frame-dependent. But your interest in the > > > > physics here quickly waned and you fell back to fussing about the > > > > sociology of scientists. What accounts for your short attention span > > > > for the physics? Note that in the discussions I was giving you, there > > > > was practically no math in favor of presentation of basic physical > > > > principles and their conceptual implications. > > > > Actually I was still interested in discussing the invariance of 'c', > > > and I do still have questions. Unfortunately, both threads appear to > > > have been partly taken over by other posters arguing completely > > > different points, and much of my own time and attention has once again > > > returned to addressing the quips, implicit insults, and general > > > "sociological" points raised. > > > So let's get back to the physics. > > You had an array of sources and detectors. > > I suggested that the sources can be something real, like a flashbulb > > or a firecracker, which emits a very brief pulse of light in all > > directions. > > The detectors will be something that triggers when a pulse of light > > arrives at the detector. We can use a photodiode or a photomultiplier > > tube with hemispherical photocathode if you like. > > With this kind of arrangement, it is certainly possible to ask which > > detectors will trigger before, at the same time as, or after other > > detectors, though that answer may vary from reference frame to > > reference frame. > > Do you want to ask that question regarding a particular set-up of > > detectors and sources? > > Yes, but I think I'll start another thread when I've had a bit of time > to sit down and think about the problem. As you wish. You may find it more constructive just talking through the problem with someone rather than trying to think it through yourself, though. Just sayin'.
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