From: Patricia Aldoraz on
On Jan 3, 11:29 am, John Stafford <n...(a)droffats.ten> wrote:
> In article
> <f78e048c-6e96-4a80-bc56-a15b5292b...(a)a32g2000yqm.googlegroups.com>,
>  Patricia Aldoraz <patricia.aldo...(a)gmail.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> > On Jan 3, 12:42 am, jmfbahciv <jmfbahciv(a)aol> wrote:
> > > Patricia Aldoraz wrote:
> > > > On Jan 2, 1:08 am, jmfbahciv <jmfbahciv(a)aol> wrote:
> > > >> Patricia Aldoraz wrote:
> > > >>> On Jan 1, 4:23 am, John Stafford <n...(a)droffats.net> wrote:
> > > >>>> Inductive reasoning can lead to practical and theoretical
> > > >>>> understanding,
> > > >>>> which is knowledge.
> > > >>> Such a wonderfully instructive and enlightening statement at this
> > > >>> stage! Christ!
> > > >> No, his name John.  
>
> > > > You are a corny simple-minded little jerk
>
> > > And no humor on top of everything else.
>
> > Hang on! I thought you said you were not going top bother with me any
> > more?
>
> > Anyway, never mind, I am used to you usenet guys acting like
> > hypocrites.
>
> > But on now to a more serious matter: humour! To say you are corny, you
> > little ignorant jerk, is to criticise your sense of humour. It is to
> > complain about its crudeness. That is what corny means, you little
> > jerk. It is not evidence of a lack of humour. Not only your humour is
> > wanting but your logic. Apply the Scientific Method to investigate
> > your logical skills.
>
> Bluster, bluster. Raging insane nonsense. Aldoraz is once again backing
> into a corner spewing insults rather than contributing to the subject.
> Pity.

But of course, the person she is replying to is contributing! You are
quite a funny little scrambled egg!

Your description, like all your recent capital letter shouting
indicates a jumbled mind that is bent on meanness rather than logic.
You see, the difference between you and me is that between the lines
of the most foul-mouthed personal insults are actual real points in my
case. Plus i do dirty better than you - is that what is bothering
you, you little pipsqueak? In your case, it is almost always *just*
the insults or some weak motherhood statement.
From: Patricia Aldoraz on
On Jan 3, 11:34 am, John Stafford <n...(a)droffats.ten> wrote:
> In article
> <243fe1c0-6252-4582-a1a1-8d0d391a8...(a)h9g2000yqa.googlegroups.com>,
>  Patricia Aldoraz <patricia.aldo...(a)gmail.com> wrote:
>
> > On Jan 3, 12:51 am, jmfbahciv <jmfbahciv(a)aol> wrote:
>
> > > Well, now I'm considering that I don't know when I'm using
> > > inductive reasoning when I'm thinking about a problem.
>
> > Neither does Stafford. He just waves his hand to websites and to
> > Scientific Method. You are so gullible!
>
>
> Consider seeking professional help.

After you. Tell me how you go. If it is costly etc....
From: David Bernier on
Patricia Aldoraz wrote:
> On Jan 3, 2:27 am, John Stafford <n...(a)droffats.ten> wrote:
>> In article
>> <247354ca-0913-4639-a138-d2db6bcb8...(a)e37g2000yqn.googlegroups.com>,
>> Patricia Aldoraz <patricia.aldo...(a)gmail.com> wrote:
>>
>>> Your contributions have been obscure shitty little statements like
>>> "Deduction depends on induction"
>> I never wrote that.
>>
> I never said you did.
>
>>> "induction is well known to be used to gain knowledge".
>> I never wrote that.
>>
>
> I never said you did
>
>>> This sort of limp nonsense.
>>
>> By definition, induction does not pretend to guarantee a truth.
>>
>
> There is no definition of induction, certainly not one you have ever
> outlined. So who would know. You are talking through your hat as
> usual. At least dorayme and I have laid out one possible form.
>
>>> It is not just that they
>>> are not deductive, it is that they do not seem to have any *reasoning
>>> power*, there seems not even a *weak* force between the premises and
>>> the conclusion.
>> If there were no deductive properties and also not a weakness in the
>> premises, there would be no probability possible, so the argument would
>> not even be induction. It would be nonsense. You see, a probability of
>> zero is still a probability, a statement of falsehood.
>>
>
> This is a completely obscure followup to the paragraph you are
> quoting. The task is to identify a form of reasoning that is not
> deductive but which exhibits reasoning force, that means lifting the
> probability to the conclusion to over 50%
>
>>> "Reasoning power? I refer to the power that avoids The Gambler's
>>> Fallacy. You see, no matter how many times a penny comes up tails, it
>>> does not follow in any way at all that it will come up tails on the
>>> next throw. It is not even probable! Nor is the likelihood of heads
>>> any better. There is no reasoning connection between the premise data
>>> and the conclusion.
>> False. If a coin comes up tails a hundred times in a row, then it is
>> proper induction to state that it will come up tails on the 101th toss.
>>
>
> If a coin comes up tails a hundred times in a row, then it is
> likely to come up tails on the 101th toss. But this is different to
> that there is "a proper induction". The latter is an obscure thing and
> you will never, because you are one of Plato's deep-in-the-cave men
> always playing with shadows.
>
>> Why? Because we know from hard-science and statistics that 100 tails in
>> a row indicates that the coin is probably not a fair coin and/or the
>> toss is not a fair toss.
>>
>
> That is irrelevant to the problem of induction. Sensible curiosity
> about induction starts with accepting that these are likelihoods. You,
> in your philosophical naivet�, seem to think it is denying that
> scientists and mathematicians do a good job.
>
>
>>> "Some people say that there is a more sophisticated idea of induction
>>> that does not involve the above simplistic patterns."
>> Attribution confusion. I did not write that.
>
> Never said you did.
>>> OK. I am
>>> listening. What are these more sophisticated ideas that identify
>>> something aptly to be called induction?
>>
>>> "That scientist X thinks up one pattern and scientist Y thinks up
>>> another contrary pattern can be described as both of them inducing
>>> different things from the data. But there is nothing in this kind of
>>> psychological induction to say the least thing about whether one is
>>> good *reasoning* and the other bad.
>> Let's sort this out. Induction does not pretend to produce a perfect
>> truth, only a probability.
>>
> This is irrelevant. No one is seeking certainty. That is your
> confusion. dorayme and I are actually seeking mere probability,
> reasoning power, logical force.
>
>>> "It is just a psychological trick that trained and gifted scientists
>>> get up to! The testing of theories is the main game but that game is
>>> a game of deduction."
>> Who wrote that? Not me.
>>
>
> Never said you did. (Have you taken your pills today?) This truth was
> written, I think by dorayme, with its usual brilliant pithyness.
>
>> What you are trying to say is quite simple. You are saying that
>> induction does not tell us whether a posit is reasonable thinking, and
>> my response is that inductive reasoning does not pretend to issue a
>> truth, but only a likelihood.
>>
>
> No, I am saying we have yet to identify this beast of induction. And
> when we do, I am not wanting or expecting to find more than liklihood.

I think there's a part of the mind that produces assumptions,
the assumption-maker. Five minutes pass by and already a dozen
new assumptions ...

David Bernier
From: Patricia Aldoraz on
On Jan 3, 12:22 pm, David Bernier <david...(a)videotron.ca> wrote:
> Patricia Aldoraz wrote:
> > No, I am saying we have yet to identify this beast of induction. And
> > when we do, I am not wanting or expecting to find more than liklihood.
>
> I think there's a part of the mind that produces assumptions,
> the assumption-maker.  Five minutes pass by and already a dozen
> new assumptions ...
>

This is a fair enough way of putting it, yes, I guess. Or we could
just simply say that one of the advanced capacities of human is to
pattern recognise and not actually commit to whether it is a literal
part of the mind.
From: Michael Gordge on
On Jan 3, 4:48 pm, Marshall <marshall.spi...(a)gmail.com> wrote:

> Right. And someone with a false pregnancy............

The diagnosis was made by a Kantian?

> and the vice president is the top person in charge.

Only when the president is out of the country.

Clue - knowledge is contextual.

The meaning of neither pregnancy or president was changed by the noun
that preceeded them.

> Unless you're somehow wrong about how adjectives work.

Nope, certainty has a meaning of its own and no preceeding adjective
can change it.

> You wouldn't be able to tell if we did.

Which of course ewe are uncertain about, you'll get giddy, the regress
cant stop.

MG