From: Mike Jr on
On Jan 16, 1:02 am, Sam Wormley <sworml...(a)gmail.com> wrote:
> On 1/15/10 6:16 PM, Mike Jr wrote:
>
>
>
> > On Jan 15, 1:27 pm, Sam Wormley<sworml...(a)gmail.com>  wrote:
> >> On 1/15/10 8:04 AM, Mike Jr wrote:
>
> >>> "Climategate: Leaked Emails Inspired Data Analyses Show Claimed
> >>> Warming Greatly Exaggerated and NOAA not CRU is Ground Zero
> > [snip]
>
> > While the effort was inspired by the debacle at UAE, the analysis did
> > not depend on UAE e-mails. Rather an analysis was performed on the
> > Global Historic Climate Network (GHCN) itself.  See what they
> > uncovered. The detailed analyses are collected here (see links):
> >http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2009/11/03/ghcn-the-global-analysis/
>
> > "NOAA appears to play a key role as a data gatherer/gatekeeper for the
> > global data centers at NASA and CRU. Programmer E.M. Smith’s analysis
> > of NOAA’s GHCN found they systematically eliminated 75% of the world’s
> > stations with a clear bias towards removing higher latitude, high
> > altitude and rural locations, all of which had a tendency to be
> > cooler. The thermometers in a sense marched towards the tropics, the
> > sea and to airport tarmacs."
>
> >http://icecap.us/images/uploads/NOAAroleinclimategate.pdf
>
> > --Mike Jr.
>
>    What does it all mean, Mike?

That Hansen and company have manipulated the surface temperature data
in several ways to exaggerate the recent warming trend and to
eliminate past warming trends such as the 1940's "warm blip".

Anthony Watts started his surface stations project (http://
www.surfacestations.org/) where he and his network of volunteers set
out to survey "every one of the 1221 USHCN weather stations in the USA
which are used as a “high quality network” to determine near surface
temperature trends in the USA." What they found, with over 82% of the
network surveyed, was appalling; 91% of the stations had siting issues
that resulted in elevated temperature readings, 87% were poor or very
poor; examples, on roofs, next to air conditioner heat exchanges, on
asphalt.

Not to worry we were told, GISS and NOAA took steps to adjust the data
to account for the urban heat island effect. John Coleman, founder of
the Weather channel, didn't take them, as gentlemen, at their word.

What John and his team found was that the stations dropped were the
ones showing no warming. Instead, these sites had their values
interpolated using values from sites that are further south, at lower
elevations, and more urbanized.

As far as adjustments, what John found was:
"The data centers then performed some final adjustments to the
gathered data before final analysis. These adjustments are in some
cases frequent and undocumented. Examining raw data versus processed
final data shows numerous examples where the adjusted data shows a
warming trend where the raw data had little change.
In many cases this is accomplished through a cooling of early data in
the records, sometimes even those designated as ‘unadjusted’ as in the
case of Central Park. Central Park for example was inexplicably cooled
up to 3F in the early records but with no recent changes – resulting
in almost double the claimed urban warming (4.5F vs 2.5F).."

Satellite data disagrees with the GISS temperature data:
"Satellite data centers will also release their assessments of monthly
and global temperature. For reasons we will discuss their results will
be less remarkable. This has been the trend in recent years. For
instance NOAA announced that for the globe June 2009 [] was the second
warmest June in 130 years falling just short of 2005. In sharp
contrast to this NASA, The University of Alabama Huntsville, UAH and
MSU satellite assessments had June virtually at the long term average
(+0.001C or 15th coldest in 31 years) and Remote Sensing Systems, with
RSS 14th coldest"

So what does it mean?
"The NOAA, NASA and the Hadley Center press releases should be
ignored. The reason which is expanded on with case studies in the full
report is that the surface based data sets have become seriously
flawed and can no longer be trusted for climate trend or model
forecast assessment in decision making by congress or the EPA."

It also means that our historical baseline for the 20th century is
untrustworthy. !@#$%^&*

--Mike Jr.
From: Mike Jr on
On Jan 16, 5:48 am, "I M @ good guy" <I...(a)good.guy> wrote:
> On Sat, 16 Jan 2010 00:02:54 -0600, Sam Wormley <sworml...(a)gmail.com>
> wrote:
>
>
>
> >On 1/15/10 6:16 PM, Mike Jr wrote:
> >> On Jan 15, 1:27 pm, Sam Wormley<sworml...(a)gmail.com>  wrote:
> >>> On 1/15/10 8:04 AM, Mike Jr wrote:
>
> >>>> "Climategate: Leaked Emails Inspired Data Analyses Show Claimed
> >>>> Warming Greatly Exaggerated and NOAA not CRU is Ground Zero
> >> [snip]
>
> >> While the effort was inspired by the debacle at UAE, the analysis did
> >> not depend on UAE e-mails. Rather an analysis was performed on the
> >> Global Historic Climate Network (GHCN) itself.  See what they
> >> uncovered. The detailed analyses are collected here (see links):
> >>http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2009/11/03/ghcn-the-global-analysis/
>
> >> "NOAA appears to play a key role as a data gatherer/gatekeeper for the
> >> global data centers at NASA and CRU. Programmer E.M. Smith’s analysis
> >> of NOAA’s GHCN found they systematically eliminated 75% of the world’s
> >> stations with a clear bias towards removing higher latitude, high
> >> altitude and rural locations, all of which had a tendency to be
> >> cooler. The thermometers in a sense marched towards the tropics, the
> >> sea and to airport tarmacs."
>
> >>http://icecap.us/images/uploads/NOAAroleinclimategate.pdf
>
> >> --Mike Jr.
>
> >   What does it all mean, Mike?
>
>          Ineptness?

"He who controls the present, controls the past. He who controls the
past, controls the future."
-- George Orwell
From: I M on
On Sat, 16 Jan 2010 03:52:20 -0800 (PST), Mike Jr <n00spam(a)comcast.net>
wrote:

>On Jan 16, 5:48 am, "I M @ good guy" <I...(a)good.guy> wrote:
>> On Sat, 16 Jan 2010 00:02:54 -0600, Sam Wormley <sworml...(a)gmail.com>
>> wrote:
>>
>>
>>
>> >On 1/15/10 6:16 PM, Mike Jr wrote:
>> >> On Jan 15, 1:27 pm, Sam Wormley<sworml...(a)gmail.com>  wrote:
>> >>> On 1/15/10 8:04 AM, Mike Jr wrote:
>>
>> >>>> "Climategate: Leaked Emails Inspired Data Analyses Show Claimed
>> >>>> Warming Greatly Exaggerated and NOAA not CRU is Ground Zero
>> >> [snip]
>>
>> >> While the effort was inspired by the debacle at UAE, the analysis did
>> >> not depend on UAE e-mails. Rather an analysis was performed on the
>> >> Global Historic Climate Network (GHCN) itself.  See what they
>> >> uncovered. The detailed analyses are collected here (see links):
>> >>http://chiefio.wordpress.com/2009/11/03/ghcn-the-global-analysis/
>>
>> >> "NOAA appears to play a key role as a data gatherer/gatekeeper for the
>> >> global data centers at NASA and CRU. Programmer E.M. Smith's analysis
>> >> of NOAA's GHCN found they systematically eliminated 75% of the world's
>> >> stations with a clear bias towards removing higher latitude, high
>> >> altitude and rural locations, all of which had a tendency to be
>> >> cooler. The thermometers in a sense marched towards the tropics, the
>> >> sea and to airport tarmacs."
>>
>> >>http://icecap.us/images/uploads/NOAAroleinclimategate.pdf
>>
>> >> --Mike Jr.
>>
>> >   What does it all mean, Mike?
>>
>>          Ineptness?
>
>"He who controls the present, controls the past. He who controls the
>past, controls the future."
> -- George Orwell


Sorry to say I thought the spectre of socialism
and Big Brother had passed until the doom and gloom
socialist creeps started their bitter whining in the
alt.global-warming newsgroup.

Just because they are broken and failed lost
souls there really is no sense in them spreading
the misery to everybody else.

Money needs to be going into alternate energy,
but apparently none of them knows what to do or
how, yet they continue to get all the money they
can without offering anything in return, I would
have to mean they are inept.





From: Surfer on
On Thu, 14 Jan 2010 16:15:14 -0800 (PST), Mike Jr
<n00spam(a)comcast.net> wrote:

>
>The report is available online at
>http://icecap.us/images/uploads/NOAAroleinclimategate.pdf.
>
Thanks. This seems a serious report.

Two salient points are:

".....When the satellites were first launched, their temperature
readings were in closer agreement with the surface station data. There
has been increasing divergence over time (see Klotzbach et.al. here).
This divergence is consistent with evidence of an increasingly warm
bias in the surface temperature record...."

"....the surface based data sets have become seriously flawed and can
no longer be trusted for climate trend or model forecast
assessment..."

But unfortunately, even if both of the above statements are true, we
still have to contend with the following facts.


Arctic sea ice extent is decreasing:
(See graph at right)
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/
Larger image here
http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/n_plot_hires.pn


The global sea level is rising:
http://climate.nasa.gov/keyIndicators/

Sea level rise is associated with the thermal expansion of sea water
due to climate warming and widespread melting of land ice.
The average rate of sea level rise has increased as follows:

1870 - 1990 1.7 mm/year
1990 - 2009 3.3 mm/year


Giant Antarctic glacier is thinning
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/08/090814100105.htm


The global lower troposphere temperature anomaly is increasing
http://images.intellicast.com/App_Images/Article/125_2.gif

This shows that since 1995 the fluctuations lie almost entirely ABOVE
the zero axis, whereas several decades ago they were evenly balanced
above and below the axis.

So the world is warming, even if the surface temperature data isn't as
reliable as we'd like.



From: Marvin the Martian on
On Sun, 17 Jan 2010 17:20:31 +1030, Surfer wrote:

> On Thu, 14 Jan 2010 16:15:14 -0800 (PST), Mike Jr <n00spam(a)comcast.net>
> wrote:
>
>
>>The report is available online at
>>http://icecap.us/images/uploads/NOAAroleinclimategate.pdf.
>>
> Thanks. This seems a serious report.
>
> Two salient points are:
>
> ".....When the satellites were first launched, their temperature
> readings were in closer agreement with the surface station data. There
> has been increasing divergence over time (see Klotzbach et.al. here).
> This divergence is consistent with evidence of an increasingly warm bias
> in the surface temperature record...."
>
> "....the surface based data sets have become seriously flawed and can no
> longer be trusted for climate trend or model forecast assessment..."
>
> But unfortunately, even if both of the above statements are true, we
> still have to contend with the following facts.
>
>
> Arctic sea ice extent is decreasing:
> (See graph at right)
> http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/
> Larger image here
> http://nsidc.org/data/seaice_index/images/n_plot_hires.pn
>
>
> The global sea level is rising:
> http://climate.nasa.gov/keyIndicators/
>
> Sea level rise is associated with the thermal expansion of sea water due
> to climate warming and widespread melting of land ice. The average rate
> of sea level rise has increased as follows:
>
> 1870 - 1990 1.7 mm/year
> 1990 - 2009 3.3 mm/year
>
>
> Giant Antarctic glacier is thinning
> http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2009/08/090814100105.htm
>
>
> The global lower troposphere temperature anomaly is increasing
> http://images.intellicast.com/App_Images/Article/125_2.gif
>
> This shows that since 1995 the fluctuations lie almost entirely ABOVE
> the zero axis, whereas several decades ago they were evenly balanced
> above and below the axis.
>
> So the world is warming, even if the surface temperature data isn't as
> reliable as we'd like.

So, you're so ignorant of physics that you think that melting ice ALWAYS
proves warming.

Two things you need to learn:

1) Ice melts when the temperature rises above 0 C. Thus, scientist don't
use ice as thermometers. You might have noticed that. You ARE using ice
as a thermometers because you don't know any better.

2) Ice has been melting since the last ice age ended 25,000 years ago.
During this period there have been climate changes both colder and
warmer. This constant quoting of melting ice by the AGW cultist is both
bad thermo and one big post hoc fallacy.