From: ZnU on
In article <nr4u565rdetqc85fkplhjqcoqv26tomig3(a)4ax.com>,
John Navas <spamfilter1(a)navasgroup.com> wrote:

> On Sun, 08 Aug 2010 16:16:01 -0400, in
> <znu-FF87A9.16160108082010(a)Port80.Individual.NET>, ZnU
> <znu(a)fake.invalid> wrote:
>
> >In article <5g0u56pesbealt82grt16jgpkpbhs75t0c(a)4ax.com>,
> > Jeff Liebermann <jeffl(a)cruzio.com> wrote:
>
> >> Not within the Android market. They're too new for this kind of
> >> evolutionary improvements. However, there are plenty of examples
> >> among other cell phone manufacturers. Motorola revolutionized the
> >> industry with the RAZR and its internal antenna at the bottom of the
> >> phone. Now, most commodity phones have internal antenna. HTC
> >> introduced the slide out keyboard which doesn't waste front panel
> >> space. Now, almost all PDA phones have sliding keyboards. Apple
> >> decided that mechanical keyboards and stylus's were un-necessary. Now,
> >> almost all the new phones use an on screen keyboard. Apple decided
> >> that battery life was critical in the iPhone 4. I'm starting to see
> >> larger phones (in product releases) primarily for the larger screen,
> >> but also for the larger battery. My point is that all the
> >> manufacturers borrow good ideas from each other, thus improving the
> >> product.
> >
> >Yes. But the only time this is an advantage for Android vs. iPhone is if
> >it can happen faster as a consequence of the fact that Android phones
> >are released throughout the year while there is only one new iPhone
> >model per year.
> >
> >Given the lead times for products this complex, I'm not sure I buy that
> >vendors can effectively 'borrow' from each other on timescales that
> >short.
>
> They can and do. Evidence abounds.
> Suggest you inform yourself _before_ taking positions.

Except that I asked you for specific examples, and you gave me vague
nonsense.

> >> >IOW, the whole thing was a huge Internet echo chamber phenomenon that
> >> >turns out to be pretty pointless.
> >>
> >> Apple was lucky that the problem was somewhat mitigated with a rubber
> >> bumper. Had it been something more difficult to solve, it could
> >> easily have been a disaster.
> >
> >Meh. Remember, estimates are that Apple earns more profit from phones
> >than any other company in the entire global cellular industry. They'd
> >take a bit of a quarterly hit if a recall had been necessary, but they
> >could afford it.
>
> So it's OK as long as it doesn't have a big hit on the bottom line? ;)

It would have been inconsequential both in terms of Apple's financials
and Apple's long-term success in this market.

> >> However, a good question to ask was how could Apple have missed this
> >> effect? Could it be that someone unilaterally decided that it wasn't
> >> a problem and go ship it anyway?
> >
> >I suspect Apple was aware of the tradeoff being made and decided to make
> >it anyway on the basis that it didn't impact real-world performance that
> >much. Which it doesn't seem to.
>
> Evidence says just the opposite.

No, it doesn't. Read some of the many reports in Engadget's roundup:

http://www.engadget.com/2010/07/13/yes-the-iphone-4-is-broken-no-the-ipho
ne-4-is-not-broken/

There are as many reports of _improved_ performance as reports of this
supposed issue -- and many reports that conform the issue say it has
little or no real-world impact.

[snip]

--
"The game of professional investment is intolerably boring and over-exacting to
anyone who is entirely exempt from the gambling instinct; whilst he who has it
must pay to this propensity the appropriate toll." -- John Maynard Keynes
From: John Navas on
On Mon, 09 Aug 2010 22:10:16 -0400, in
<znu-D16126.22101609082010(a)Port80.Individual.NET>, ZnU
<znu(a)fake.invalid> wrote:

>In article <3b5u56pqkbrf6ihbo8c1regflof5roc5j2(a)4ax.com>,
> John Navas <spamfilter1(a)navasgroup.com> wrote:

>> >So why is anyone buying the latter for 4x the price (8x if
>> >you want two)?
>>
>> Why would anyone buying water pay dollars per small bottle when
>> essentially free tap water is as good or better (as it is here in San
>> Francisco)?
>
>So you're saying people _shouldn't_ buy the Droid X, they should buy the
>Ally, and it's irrational for them to buy the Droid X?

Didn't say that. Didn't imply that. What I wrote speaks for itself.

>> That's a straw man argument.
>
>No, it's not. ...

Yes, it is, and I'm done with this pointless "discussion".

--
John

"Never argue with an idiot. He'll drag you down to his level
and then beat you with experience." -Dr. Alan Zimmerman
From: ZnU on
In article <v9bu5618p0gou9kevekfsef4hrm3jtomad(a)4ax.com>,
John Navas <spamfilter1(a)navasgroup.com> wrote:

> On Sun, 08 Aug 2010 17:09:48 -0400, in
> <znu-4C6D0C.17094708082010(a)Port80.Individual.NET>, ZnU
> <znu(a)fake.invalid> wrote:
>
> >In article <4c5f1714$0$5493$c3e8da3(a)news.astraweb.com>,
> > JF Mezei <jfmezei.spamnot(a)vaxination.ca> wrote:
> >
> >> ZnU wrote:
> >>
> >> > I suspect Apple was aware of the tradeoff being made and decided to make
> >> > it anyway on the basis that it didn't impact real-world performance that
> >> > much. Which it doesn't seem to.
> >>
> >> I am convinced that there are folks within Apple who knew the antenna
> >> had problems. I don't know who, and high high up.
> >>
> >> What puzzles me is that Jobs would have extoled the virtues of the new
> >> antenna in his keynote speech if he knew the antenna had flaws.
> >>
> >> Perhaps he could have said "the antenna is so magical, it only works if
> >> you don't hold the phone :-)"
> >>
> >> Perhaps, at the time of the keynote, Jobs was confident that a fix would
> >> be found prior to first shipments.
> >>
> >> Perhaps Jobs is still confident that a fix will be made. You will note
> >> that the offer for those free bumbers ends September 30th. Perhaps
> >> lacker coated handsets will start shipping soon.
> >
> >Remember, there are a _lot_ of reports out there of the iPhone 4 getting
> >reception in places the 3Gs doesn't, and at least one survey that has
> >consumers saying the iPhone 4 drops fewer calls.
> >
> >If instead of being an unambiguous design flaw, the design choices that
> >produce the "death grip" effect are instead _tradeoffs_ that result in
> >_better_ performance under other circumstances, then everything here --
> >including Jobs extolling the virtues of the new antenna -- makes perfect
> >sense.
> >
> >And it's far more reasonable to assume that Apple made a deliberate
> >design tradeoff than to assume their $100M antenna testing facility and
> >months of field testing missed a trivially correctable and unambiguous
> >flaw that anyone in possession of at least one human hand can detect.
>
> If that were true, then the principal engineer would still have a job,
> yet he was fired. Oops!

The WSJ disagrees with you about why.

> PLEASE STOP CHANGING THE CROSS-POSTING -- IT'S RUDE!

I haven't touched the newsgroups or followups headers.

--
"The game of professional investment is intolerably boring and over-exacting to
anyone who is entirely exempt from the gambling instinct; whilst he who has it
must pay to this propensity the appropriate toll." -- John Maynard Keynes
From: ZnU on
In article <re4u56d4gi4ejkg9slfkn82lhrdm3ia9lf(a)4ax.com>,
John Navas <spamfilter1(a)navasgroup.com> wrote:

> On Sun, 08 Aug 2010 15:53:42 -0400, in
> <znu-3375CC.15534208082010(a)Port80.Individual.NET>, ZnU
> <znu(a)fake.invalid> wrote:
>
> >In article <nl1u561ih2audtf93lqg0mj3djqpuvufd3(a)4ax.com>,
> > John Navas <spamfilter1(a)navasgroup.com> wrote:
>
> >> So you are confusing them. Tip: You can have great software on
> >> not-so-great hardware, vice versa, and other combinations as well.
> >
> >I have no idea what your point is here. There is nothing wrong with
> >looking at actual _products_ considering _all of their components_.
>
> Software problems are easy to fix in the field.
> Hardware problems are not.

Ironically, the single biggest "software problem" with Android right now
is probably that handset vendors have inserted themselves into the
update process (by "customizing" Android -- usually making it worse) and
are fallow down on the job when it comes to making updates available to
users.

[snip]

> >That has to be pretty embarrassing for those "more experienced players".
>
> How so? Apple got a jump on them, but both are doing very well with
> their Android devices, rapidly gaining share.

By "Apple got the jump on them" I assume you mean "Apple entered a
market they'd already been in for years, with a product that was better
than anything they'd managed to produce to that point."

Hint: the factors that allowed Apple to do that have not gone away.

> And smartphones are still
> only a small part of the overall phone market.

Smartphones are pretty much the entire future of the market. And I'd bet
they already count of a majority of the _profits_ in the phone market,
at least in the US.

> >> and is (re)gaining market share much more rapidly than Apple.
> >> <http://www.npd.com/press/releases/press_100804.html>
> >
> >This doesn't show Motorola's overall smartphone market share.
>
> It is what it is. ;)

Yeah. And it's 1/3 of Apple's.

> >> Sorry, but that doesn't follow -- you're making an unwarranted
> >> assumption that files in the face of the available evidence.
> >
> >No. I'm assuming, in the absence of evidence to the contrary, that the
> >per-model issue rate is doesn't magically go down because the number of
> >models is higher. _You_ are assuming that it does.
> >
> >If anything, I'd expect the number of per-model issues to be _higher_
> >when vendors have their attention divided between more models.
>
> That doesn't follow, but it's a pointless debate regardless.

I like how the debate became pointless as soon as you got cornered.

--
"The game of professional investment is intolerably boring and over-exacting to
anyone who is entirely exempt from the gambling instinct; whilst he who has it
must pay to this propensity the appropriate toll." -- John Maynard Keynes
From: ZnU on
In article <164u561i94um3buf9ptjp2ooa2ekmj6e3i(a)4ax.com>,
John Navas <spamfilter1(a)navasgroup.com> wrote:

[snip]

> >This is a battle for the future of mobile computing. ...
>
> It's a battle for the mobile phone market.
> The iPad market is a different market and battle.
> If you disagree, try making a phone call with an iPad,
> and let me know how well it's "working for you". ;)

The iPad is arguably a different market. I would say it was definitely a
different market, except that it's possible to 'universal' apps.

The iPod Touch is absolutely _not_ a different market in any meaningful
sense, despite the number of people who'd like to frame it that way to
make Android look better.

--
"The game of professional investment is intolerably boring and over-exacting to
anyone who is entirely exempt from the gambling instinct; whilst he who has it
must pay to this propensity the appropriate toll." -- John Maynard Keynes