From: Joerg on
krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
> On Sun, 06 Jun 2010 16:29:49 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>
>> krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>>> On Sun, 06 Jun 2010 14:29:08 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>>
>>>> krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>>>>> On Sun, 06 Jun 2010 14:02:47 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>> krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>>>> [...]
>>>>
>>>>>>> Several manufacturers are apparently dumping these lines (CS10?). All but a
>>>>>>> few crystals (14.7456MHz, and such) are custom ordered. This one happens to
>>>>>>> be 12.0MHz. In reality it can be anything from 4-40MHz. We also use a
>>>>>>> 12.5MHz crystal in the product. I could easily use it, but with 12.7K in
>>>>>>> inventory there isn't any point.
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>> When I did that with an inductor for a client a long time ago we looked
>>>>>>>> at it and it was "Wow, custom from Taiwan costs less than catalog from
>>>>>>>> the US". So they are still using that Taiwanese inductor.
>>>>>>> Yes, these crystals are from China, too.
>>>>>> If a certain type seems to get dropped you might want to ask around. In
>>>>>> China there always seems to be someone who keeps making older stuff. For
>>>>>> example, through-hole parts and single-sided phenolic are kicking and
>>>>>> alive over there. When you ask a board house about phenolic in the US
>>>>>> that can result in a blank stare ;-)
>>>>> Yeah, we have no trouble finding someone else. It's just some work showing
>>>>> that the new parts are really equivalent. It also takes 12 weeks (or more) to
>>>>> get the evaluation parts before useful quantities can be ordered (then another
>>>>> 12 weeks).
>>>> For a crystal? It's been a while but I could always get them in two
>>>> weeks if needed. In a real crunch within the same week.
>>> At one time, sure. No longer.
>>>
>>>> But yeah, China
>>>> tends to take longer and often the willingness to expedite drops down
>>>> when the supplier grows and takes on more important (a.k.a. bigger)
>>>> customers. Been there :-(
>>> Apparently these parts are only sourced in China, now. Even crystal
>>> oscillator lead times have slipped out that far and the disty can, under
>>> normal circumstances, program them.
>>
>> Hmm, putting my capitalist hat on (which I usually only take off at
>> night ...) all this opens numerous opportunities:
>>
>> a. A "good-old-days" type of service for crystals.
>

If the bureacrats left manufacturers alone it wouldn't have to be that
way, at least not for higher end stuff.


> The problem here is that there isn't enough money in crystals anymore to make
> them worthwhile for anyone but the Chinese.
>
>> b. A futures trading system for components. With hedge contracts and the
>> whole nine yards.
>
> Isn't that what disties do? They have the added advantage of being fronted by
> some manufacturers.
>

They are mostly just a sales outlet for the manufacturers. Typically
they don't do speculative buys.


>> c. Parts obsolescence insurance plans with a leadtime rider, with an
>> (expensive) option to also insure against excessive leadtimes.
>
> Quick, call AIG.
>
>> d. Hunter businesses, where there are numerous very smart engineers who
>> no longer participate in the productive life of a circuit designer but
>> canvas the market all day long. In search of parts that shoot up in
>> leadtime but where they find out that these are crucial to some
>> products. Then buy the whole stock in one fell swoop, and re-sell it to
>> companies that failed to move away from JIT.
>
> e. Index Arbitrage. Buy in the US and sell in Europe. Buy in China and sell
> in the US.


That we already did in the 80's. Not to save money but to skirt around
shortages. Our company started worldwide sourcing. When I told our
purchasing folks that I designed in a PIN diode and we'd have to buy the
first 35,000 en bloc and from Malaysia they swallowed a bit but didn't
think this was totally outlandish. A year earlier they would have thrown
the book at me.

--
Regards, Joerg

http://www.analogconsultants.com/

"gmail" domain blocked because of excessive spam.
Use another domain or send PM.
From: krw on
On Mon, 07 Jun 2010 06:46:23 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:

>krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>> On Sun, 06 Jun 2010 16:29:49 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>
>>> krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>>>> On Sun, 06 Jun 2010 14:29:08 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>> krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>>>>>> On Sun, 06 Jun 2010 14:02:47 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>>>>>
>>>>>>> krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>>>>> [...]
>>>>>
>>>>>>>> Several manufacturers are apparently dumping these lines (CS10?). All but a
>>>>>>>> few crystals (14.7456MHz, and such) are custom ordered. This one happens to
>>>>>>>> be 12.0MHz. In reality it can be anything from 4-40MHz. We also use a
>>>>>>>> 12.5MHz crystal in the product. I could easily use it, but with 12.7K in
>>>>>>>> inventory there isn't any point.
>>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>>> When I did that with an inductor for a client a long time ago we looked
>>>>>>>>> at it and it was "Wow, custom from Taiwan costs less than catalog from
>>>>>>>>> the US". So they are still using that Taiwanese inductor.
>>>>>>>> Yes, these crystals are from China, too.
>>>>>>> If a certain type seems to get dropped you might want to ask around. In
>>>>>>> China there always seems to be someone who keeps making older stuff. For
>>>>>>> example, through-hole parts and single-sided phenolic are kicking and
>>>>>>> alive over there. When you ask a board house about phenolic in the US
>>>>>>> that can result in a blank stare ;-)
>>>>>> Yeah, we have no trouble finding someone else. It's just some work showing
>>>>>> that the new parts are really equivalent. It also takes 12 weeks (or more) to
>>>>>> get the evaluation parts before useful quantities can be ordered (then another
>>>>>> 12 weeks).
>>>>> For a crystal? It's been a while but I could always get them in two
>>>>> weeks if needed. In a real crunch within the same week.
>>>> At one time, sure. No longer.
>>>>
>>>>> But yeah, China
>>>>> tends to take longer and often the willingness to expedite drops down
>>>>> when the supplier grows and takes on more important (a.k.a. bigger)
>>>>> customers. Been there :-(
>>>> Apparently these parts are only sourced in China, now. Even crystal
>>>> oscillator lead times have slipped out that far and the disty can, under
>>>> normal circumstances, program them.
>>>
>>> Hmm, putting my capitalist hat on (which I usually only take off at
>>> night ...) all this opens numerous opportunities:
>>>
>>> a. A "good-old-days" type of service for crystals.
>>
>
>If the bureacrats left manufacturers alone it wouldn't have to be that
>way, at least not for higher end stuff.
>
>
>> The problem here is that there isn't enough money in crystals anymore to make
>> them worthwhile for anyone but the Chinese.
>>
>>> b. A futures trading system for components. With hedge contracts and the
>>> whole nine yards.
>>
>> Isn't that what disties do? They have the added advantage of being fronted by
>> some manufacturers.
>>
>
>They are mostly just a sales outlet for the manufacturers. Typically
>they don't do speculative buys.

They do. That's why they have "in stock" > 0, on some parts. With other more
expensive parts they're fronted (consignment, essentially).

From: Joerg on
krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
> On Mon, 07 Jun 2010 06:46:23 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>
>> krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>>> On Sun, 06 Jun 2010 16:29:49 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>>

[...]

>>>> b. A futures trading system for components. With hedge contracts and the
>>>> whole nine yards.
>>> Isn't that what disties do? They have the added advantage of being fronted by
>>> some manufacturers.
>>>
>> They are mostly just a sales outlet for the manufacturers. Typically
>> they don't do speculative buys.
>
> They do. That's why they have "in stock" > 0, on some parts. With other more
> expensive parts they're fronted (consignment, essentially).
>

Even large end customers have consignment deals. But usually when a part
becomes scarce the lights go out pretty much everywhere. Disties do have
stock beyond others on occasion but it's mostly not enough to avoid
running dry. BT, many times :-(

--
Regards, Joerg

http://www.analogconsultants.com/

"gmail" domain blocked because of excessive spam.
Use another domain or send PM.
From: krw on
On Mon, 07 Jun 2010 16:18:58 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:

>krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>> On Mon, 07 Jun 2010 06:46:23 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>
>>> krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:
>>>> On Sun, 06 Jun 2010 16:29:49 -0700, Joerg <invalid(a)invalid.invalid> wrote:
>>>>
>
>[...]
>
>>>>> b. A futures trading system for components. With hedge contracts and the
>>>>> whole nine yards.
>>>> Isn't that what disties do? They have the added advantage of being fronted by
>>>> some manufacturers.
>>>>
>>> They are mostly just a sales outlet for the manufacturers. Typically
>>> they don't do speculative buys.
>>
>> They do. That's why they have "in stock" > 0, on some parts. With other more
>> expensive parts they're fronted (consignment, essentially).
>>
>
>Even large end customers have consignment deals.

They don't have to be large. They keep some of our inventory, but that wasn't
my point.

>But usually when a part
>becomes scarce the lights go out pretty much everywhere. Disties do have
>stock beyond others on occasion but it's mostly not enough to avoid
>running dry. BT, many times :-(

They normally keep stock of the common parts, mostly passives, and some of
them *are* getting scarce. Yes, if a part is scarce they aren't likely to
have any either. ;-)

From: Paul Hovnanian P.E. on
krw(a)att.bizzzzzzzzzzzz wrote:

[snip]
>
> Clueless, totally clueless.

Well, you can sit in the dark in a state of depression because your party is
out of power. The rest of the world carries on doing business.

Look at the bright side: Mental health will be covered under Obamacare.

--
Paul Hovnanian paul(a)hovnanian.com
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Have gnu, will travel.