From: Symon on 2 Mar 2010 06:22 This lot seems to be revealing a bit more about their stuff. http://www.mercurynews.com/breaking-news/ci_14493616 http://www.tabula.com
From: Jonathan Bromley on 2 Mar 2010 07:04 On Tue, 02 Mar 2010 11:22:07 +0000, Symon wrote: >This lot seems to be revealing a bit more about their stuff. >http://www.mercurynews.com/breaking-news/ci_14493616 >http://www.tabula.com Thanks for the heads-up. Any startup may simply vanish without trace in a puff of hot air, but this lot look as though they may have one of the few really innovative and potentially disruptive ideas to hit FPGAs in recent times. Commercial reality being what it is, it is unlikely that hobbyists and small design shops will be able to get their hands on real tools and devices at a sensible price for quite some time. But I reckon it's still worth watching. -- Jonathan Bromley
From: austin on 2 Mar 2010 11:39 All, Yes, Tabula is in the sunshine of the vulture capital technology rollout phase. I like the FPGA Journal's characterization of the technology announcements: been there, done that, and when you ship the parts, let me know. However, it is a necessary part of doing business that you attempt to generate excitement for a new product. I will suggest to you that you go back and read all the hype, up until now, as it does tell a better story of what is going on. For example, originally, the technology was better in cost, speed, and power (how they got their funding). Then, after awhile, cost, maybe speed (in some applications), and power. In the latest release, we see cost, maybe speed, and power will be the same or worse. "There ain't no such thing as a free lunch" (TANSTAAFL), and if you can context switch at 1.6 GHz, with 8 time slices, then you have a 200 MHz fabric which is somewhat smaller (not 8, but perhaps 6?) than a comparable run of the mill FPGA device. With the added dynamic power (CV^2F), since the capacitance of the interconnect is based on its length, and their claim is that the length of interconnect in their devices is 1/5th that of a comparable device, we can suppose that C is 1/5th. Given that they ALWAYS switch at 1.6 GHz some nodes, and they have announced that power is not one of the benefits any longer, we can pretty much conclude that because of the time slicing, the improvement in interconnect didn't pan out and result in a cost savings, but came in as a wash, or perhaps worse. In order to operate at 1.6 GHz, they have to have all the transistors be really fast, which means really leaky, so perhaps their static power is out of control, as well. In a comparable 'old style' FPGA device, many transistors may be lower leakage, as they don't switch that fast. Of course, we may have 5 times as many devices as the Tabula chip, but they may have 10 times less leakage. Is there a targeted market? You bet, they have aimed at the "networking high end" which is the bread and butter of the big players! Will they actually meet the requirements? What is the reliability? What is their soft error behavior? What happens when the design doesn't work: how do you debug the "magic" they perform by re-interpreting your HDL code? It will be interesting: is this just an excuse to buy really nice cars, and get fat paychecks, until it all blows up? Or, is this a novel, and game-changing technology? Having been part of the SIlicon Valley community since 1978, this is a very familiar tune, and how it plays out may not be such a surprise to anyone (except the investors). I have to say, they have a stellar group of people, ex-Xilinx, and ex- Altera both. Austin
From: Eric Smith on 2 Mar 2010 14:28 On Mar 2, 8:39 am, austin <aus...(a)xilinx.com> wrote: > Is there a targeted market? You bet, they have aimed at the > "networking high end" which is the bread and butter of the big > players! Reminds me of some of the players that tried to compete with Intel on high-end x86 processors. Only AMD has been successful at that. Your technical advantages will no longer be advantages by the time you get the product to market. A friend was an engineer at one of the companies that tried it back in the late 486 era. He called that business plan "running ahead of the steamroller". The steamroller doesn't seem to move that fast, so you can run ahead of it for a while, but you get tired before the steamroller does.
From: Jonathan Bromley on 2 Mar 2010 15:15
On Tue, 2 Mar 2010 11:28:02 -0800 (PST), Eric Smith wrote: >The steamroller doesn't seem to move that fast, so you >can run ahead of it for a while, but you get tired before the >steamroller does. Nicely put, but that way lies stagnation and the ultimate death of our industry. Sometimes there will be a truly novel, industry-regenerating idea out there. No-one can reliably guess which one of the ideas will be that mould-breaker, but it is important to stay aware of the possibilities. There are domains where there appears to have been continuous steady improvement - semiconductor wafer size getting bigger, design rules getting smaller, hard disk capacity getting bigger and cheaper - but those progressive improvements are not truly progressive; they are fuelled by discontinuous changes (the discovery and exploitation of GMR-effect in disk drives, for example). You don't immediately see a huge stepwise change because of these innovations; there's no point in creating something that's 10 times as good as the competition, when something 1.5 times as good will make you rich. So it appears to the casual or ill-informed observer that things just go on getting better without innovation, when in truth it is innovation (and the pull of consumer demand) that drives it all. Good luck to Tabula. They must play the game by the rules, and they are up against unfair odds - just count the number of FPGA vendors, many of them genuinely innovative, who have fallen by the wayside. But they just might be on to something. And, as Austin concludes, they have a dream team. They won't beat Xilinx at their own game, but they just might be writing the rules of a completely new game. -- Jonathan Bromley |