From: T Wake on

"Jonathan Kirwan" <jkirwan(a)easystreet.com> wrote in message
news:uhudo2haqc1jbnt114m7n7mkqfp2k93ka5(a)4ax.com...
> On Mon, 18 Dec 2006 20:20:36 -0000, "T Wake"
> <usenet.es7at(a)gishpuppy.com> wrote:
>
>>"Eeyore" <rabbitsfriendsandrelations(a)hotmail.com> wrote in message
>>news:4586EB2C.8D8510D1(a)hotmail.com...
>>>
>>>
>>> Lloyd Parker wrote:
>>>
>>>> unsettled <unsettled(a)nonsense.com> wrote:
>>>> >T Wake wrote:
>>>> >> "Eeyore" <rabbitsfriendsandrelations(a)hotmail.com> wrote in message
>>>> >
>>>> >> Without heading down the road of a conspiracy theory here, I am not
>>>> >> sure
>>>> >> what you are going on about. Climate science is as rigourous a
>>>> >> discipline
>>>> >> as anything else. They have peer reviewed journals and everything.
>>>> >
>>>> >Climate science is barely off the ground flapping its wings as
>>>> >hard as it can to get airborne, but still needing an occasional
>>>> >hard placed kick to get as far as it has.
>>>>
>>>> Typical right-wing anti-science remark.
>>>
>>> Not really.
>>>
>>> No-one fully understands what drives the weather.
>>
>>That isn't really what climate science is about though, and interestingly
>>not fully understanding what drives something does not affect the quality
>>of
>>the science (inflation, cosmological expansion, even the propagation of
>>gravity all remain "not fully understood").
>
> I should have refetched more news before responding. ;) Would have
> saved me a sentence or two.

It's ok. Something good is worth saying twice :-)


From: unsettled on
T Wake wrote:
> "Eeyore" <rabbitsfriendsandrelations(a)hotmail.com> wrote in message
> news:4586EB2C.8D8510D1(a)hotmail.com...
>
>>
>>Lloyd Parker wrote:
>>
>>
>>> unsettled <unsettled(a)nonsense.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>>T Wake wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>"Eeyore" <rabbitsfriendsandrelations(a)hotmail.com> wrote in message
>>>>
>>>>>Without heading down the road of a conspiracy theory here, I am not
>>>>>sure
>>>>>what you are going on about. Climate science is as rigourous a
>>>>>discipline
>>>>>as anything else. They have peer reviewed journals and everything.
>>>>
>>>>Climate science is barely off the ground flapping its wings as
>>>>hard as it can to get airborne, but still needing an occasional
>>>>hard placed kick to get as far as it has.
>>>
>>>Typical right-wing anti-science remark.
>>
>>Not really.
>>
>>No-one fully understands what drives the weather.
>
>
> That isn't really what climate science is about though, and interestingly
> not fully understanding what drives something does not affect the quality of
> the science (inflation, cosmological expansion, even the propagation of
> gravity all remain "not fully understood").

We know enough to usually understand what a really good
model is. Occasionally we get lucky early in the game.
I don't believe we have with climatology as yet.

Look at some of the diverse elements:

variability of solar energy directed at us
what happens enroute before that reaches us
variable atmospheric considerations
variable ocean currents
Earth tilt/axis_wobble
chaotic interactions
solar eclipses
From: unsettled on
T Wake wrote:

> "Eeyore" <rabbitsfriendsandrelations(a)hotmail.com> wrote in message
> news:4586EEBA.E4699BAA(a)hotmail.com...
>
>>
>>T Wake wrote:
>>
>>
>>>"Lloyd Parker" <lparker(a)emory.edu> wrote
>>>
>>>
>>>>Melting of ice sheets on land (Greenland, Antarctica) will. Only
>>>>melting
>>>>of floating ice will not.
>>>
>>>In a clumsy, cack-handed manner this is the conclusion I was trying to
>>>work
>>>towards. Thank you for explaining it simply and in a single sentence.
>>>
>>>My strong suspicion regarding (at least) Eeyore's take on this, is not
>>>that
>>>he has a strong argument against human influenced global warming but he
>>>does
>>>have a strong objection to the measures some Governments are taking in an
>>>effort to reduce the impact. Hopefully he will be able to see the
>>>difference.
>>
>>You're partly right at least.
>>
>>Reducing CO2 emissions seems to be a 'good idea' (tm) from first
>>principles
>>anyway.
>
>
> Glad to hear it.
>
>
>>My objections to the political propaganda surrounding it is primarily that
>>(a)
>>taxation will have a limited effect, 'punish' western economies and just
>>generally annoy ppl (b) the promotin of the daft idea that we can
>>somehow stop
>>it in it's tracks and (c) a complete lack of anyone seemingly to realise
>>the
>>importane of insulation - there all maner of hi-tech nonsense going on
>>like the
>>idiotic 'hydrogen ecoonomy' that actually promotes energy use and hugely
>>expensive PV solar power whilst tackilng the problem at source gets
>>overlooked !
>
>
> All three of these points are valid but are arguments with the effects taken
> to combat global warming (often taken by non-scientists of any discipline).
>
> In the UK we suffer quite badly (and I suspect most westernised nations do
> as well) from false authority fallacies. It strikes me that the reaction to
> the findings of climatologists is a prime example of this.
>
> It is critical (IMHO obviously) that the arguments against the reactions are
> differentiated from the arguments against the science.

That's a problem even here, where it shouldn't be.



From: T Wake on

"unsettled" <unsettled(a)nonsense.com> wrote in message
news:1ba80$458725e8$4fe77f6$13355(a)DIALUPUSA.NET...
>T Wake wrote:
>
>> "Eeyore" <rabbitsfriendsandrelations(a)hotmail.com> wrote in message
>> news:4586EEBA.E4699BAA(a)hotmail.com...
>>
>>>
>>>T Wake wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>>"Lloyd Parker" <lparker(a)emory.edu> wrote
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>Melting of ice sheets on land (Greenland, Antarctica) will. Only
>>>>>melting
>>>>>of floating ice will not.
>>>>
>>>>In a clumsy, cack-handed manner this is the conclusion I was trying to
>>>>work
>>>>towards. Thank you for explaining it simply and in a single sentence.
>>>>
>>>>My strong suspicion regarding (at least) Eeyore's take on this, is not
>>>>that
>>>>he has a strong argument against human influenced global warming but he
>>>>does
>>>>have a strong objection to the measures some Governments are taking in
>>>>an
>>>>effort to reduce the impact. Hopefully he will be able to see the
>>>>difference.
>>>
>>>You're partly right at least.
>>>
>>>Reducing CO2 emissions seems to be a 'good idea' (tm) from first
>>>principles
>>>anyway.
>>
>>
>> Glad to hear it.
>>
>>
>>>My objections to the political propaganda surrounding it is primarily
>>>that (a)
>>>taxation will have a limited effect, 'punish' western economies and just
>>>generally annoy ppl (b) the promotin of the daft idea that we can
>>>somehow stop
>>>it in it's tracks and (c) a complete lack of anyone seemingly to realise
>>>the
>>>importane of insulation - there all maner of hi-tech nonsense going on
>>>like the
>>>idiotic 'hydrogen ecoonomy' that actually promotes energy use and hugely
>>>expensive PV solar power whilst tackilng the problem at source gets
>>>overlooked !
>>
>>
>> All three of these points are valid but are arguments with the effects
>> taken to combat global warming (often taken by non-scientists of any
>> discipline).
>>
>> In the UK we suffer quite badly (and I suspect most westernised nations
>> do as well) from false authority fallacies. It strikes me that the
>> reaction to the findings of climatologists is a prime example of this.
>>
>> It is critical (IMHO obviously) that the arguments against the reactions
>> are differentiated from the arguments against the science.
>
> That's a problem even here, where it shouldn't be.

Very true.


From: T Wake on

"unsettled" <unsettled(a)nonsense.com> wrote in message
news:d7d51$4587259a$4fe77f6$13355(a)DIALUPUSA.NET...
>T Wake wrote:
>> "Eeyore" <rabbitsfriendsandrelations(a)hotmail.com> wrote in message
>> news:4586EB2C.8D8510D1(a)hotmail.com...
>>
>>>
>>>Lloyd Parker wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>> unsettled <unsettled(a)nonsense.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>>T Wake wrote:
>>>>>
>>>>>>"Eeyore" <rabbitsfriendsandrelations(a)hotmail.com> wrote in message
>>>>>
>>>>>>Without heading down the road of a conspiracy theory here, I am not
>>>>>>sure
>>>>>>what you are going on about. Climate science is as rigourous a
>>>>>>discipline
>>>>>>as anything else. They have peer reviewed journals and everything.
>>>>>
>>>>>Climate science is barely off the ground flapping its wings as
>>>>>hard as it can to get airborne, but still needing an occasional
>>>>>hard placed kick to get as far as it has.
>>>>
>>>>Typical right-wing anti-science remark.
>>>
>>>Not really.
>>>
>>>No-one fully understands what drives the weather.
>>
>>
>> That isn't really what climate science is about though, and interestingly
>> not fully understanding what drives something does not affect the quality
>> of the science (inflation, cosmological expansion, even the propagation
>> of gravity all remain "not fully understood").
>
> We know enough to usually understand what a really good
> model is. Occasionally we get lucky early in the game.
> I don't believe we have with climatology as yet.
>
> Look at some of the diverse elements:
>
> variability of solar energy directed at us
> what happens enroute before that reaches us
> variable atmospheric considerations
> variable ocean currents
> Earth tilt/axis_wobble
> chaotic interactions
> solar eclipses

Unfortunately I am no where near up to speed with climatology enough to
respond to this in a meaningful manner. Hopefully a climatologist will be
able to chime in and give better detail.