From: Eeyore on


John Larkin wrote:

> Eeyore <rabbitsfriendsandrelations(a)hotmail.com> wrote:
> >lucasea(a)sbcglobal.net wrote:
> >> "John Larkin" <jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote in message
> >>
> >> > If somebody
> >> > says "looks like rain" I bet you say "prove it or shut up."
> >>
> >> That would be based on observational evidence, not anecdotal evidence. An
> >> assumption based on anecdotal evidence would be "it rained the past two
> >> Tuesdays, so therefore I conclude that it always rains on Tuesday."
> >
> >An absence of clouds would make the assertion look pretty flaky anyway !
> >
> >Graham
>
> How about "it rained for the last 39 days, so it will probably rain
> today"? Anecdotal too, I suppose.

No doubt.

Graham

From: T Wake on

"John Larkin" <jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote in message
news:4nnvj2lppam6tqe5su8de9ee7u4reg3j5d(a)4ax.com...
> On Wed, 25 Oct 2006 22:32:17 +0100, Eeyore
> <rabbitsfriendsandrelations(a)hotmail.com> wrote:
>
>>
>>
>>lucasea(a)sbcglobal.net wrote:
>>
>>> "John Larkin" <jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote in
>>> message
>>>
>>> > If somebody
>>> > says "looks like rain" I bet you say "prove it or shut up."
>>>
>>> That would be based on observational evidence, not anecdotal evidence.
>>> An
>>> assumption based on anecdotal evidence would be "it rained the past two
>>> Tuesdays, so therefore I conclude that it always rains on Tuesday."
>>
>>An absence of clouds would make the assertion look pretty flaky anyway !
>>
>>Graham
>
> How about "it rained for the last 39 days, so it will probably rain
> today"? Anecdotal too, I suppose.

If you said it without looking outside - yes.

If the rainy season was 39 days long then it probably wouldn't rain.


From: T Wake on

"John Larkin" <jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote in message
news:crnvj2pn12lbhdqj7j88rs3bq4ub38b0qn(a)4ax.com...
> On Wed, 25 Oct 06 16:23:50 GMT, lparker(a)emory.edu (Lloyd Parker)
> wrote:
>
>>In article <j9vuj25679i7d4bp38km98lii0acq1ajai(a)4ax.com>,
>> John Larkin <jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
>>>On Tue, 24 Oct 2006 17:55:01 +0100, "T Wake"
>>><usenet.es7at(a)gishpuppy.com> wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>>>>
>>>>>>It is still valid. I honestly believe in Newtonian Gravity being the
>>>>>>best
>>>>>>description of gravity in the domain in which it applies.
>>>>>
>>>>> I don't believe it. I demonstrated it when I did my labs.
>>>>
>>>>You still believe it is the _best_ description of gravity. Tomorrow some
>>>>one
>>>
>>>Einstein
>>>
>>>>may overhaul Newtonian gravity and explain that it is actually incorrect
>>>>because of [insert reason here].
>>>
>>>General relativity, as demonstrated in the orbit of Mercury.
>>>
>>
>>But even that cannot be entirely correct, as it is incompatible with
>>quantum
>>mechanics.
>
> But it certainly makes Newton's formulation not-the-best.

Newtonian gravity is perfect at what it tries to describe.

GR is perfect at what it tries to describe and like all good theories
includes Newtonian gravity as a subset. GR matches Newtonian predictions
where applicable.

As an example Newtonian gravity does not include very large mass objects, so
it does not properly explain the curvature of space around a star (for
example), however Newtonian gravity will allow you to put an man on the
moon.

Each theory is good in its own domain, which is why there is a strong
element of belief in science.


From: John Larkin on
On Thu, 26 Oct 2006 00:09:56 +0100, "T Wake"
<usenet.es7at(a)gishpuppy.com> wrote:

>
>"John Larkin" <jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote in message
>news:4nnvj2lppam6tqe5su8de9ee7u4reg3j5d(a)4ax.com...
>> On Wed, 25 Oct 2006 22:32:17 +0100, Eeyore
>> <rabbitsfriendsandrelations(a)hotmail.com> wrote:
>>
>>>
>>>
>>>lucasea(a)sbcglobal.net wrote:
>>>
>>>> "John Larkin" <jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote in
>>>> message
>>>>
>>>> > If somebody
>>>> > says "looks like rain" I bet you say "prove it or shut up."
>>>>
>>>> That would be based on observational evidence, not anecdotal evidence.
>>>> An
>>>> assumption based on anecdotal evidence would be "it rained the past two
>>>> Tuesdays, so therefore I conclude that it always rains on Tuesday."
>>>
>>>An absence of clouds would make the assertion look pretty flaky anyway !
>>>
>>>Graham
>>
>> How about "it rained for the last 39 days, so it will probably rain
>> today"? Anecdotal too, I suppose.
>
>If you said it without looking outside - yes.
>
>If the rainy season was 39 days long then it probably wouldn't rain.
>

Well, we do have extremely precise rainy seasons here in California.

John

From: John Larkin on
On Thu, 26 Oct 2006 00:13:01 +0100, "T Wake"
<usenet.es7at(a)gishpuppy.com> wrote:

>
>"John Larkin" <jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote in message
>news:crnvj2pn12lbhdqj7j88rs3bq4ub38b0qn(a)4ax.com...
>> On Wed, 25 Oct 06 16:23:50 GMT, lparker(a)emory.edu (Lloyd Parker)
>> wrote:
>>
>>>In article <j9vuj25679i7d4bp38km98lii0acq1ajai(a)4ax.com>,
>>> John Larkin <jjlarkin(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
>>>>On Tue, 24 Oct 2006 17:55:01 +0100, "T Wake"
>>>><usenet.es7at(a)gishpuppy.com> wrote:
>>>>
>>>>
>>>>>>>
>>>>>>>It is still valid. I honestly believe in Newtonian Gravity being the
>>>>>>>best
>>>>>>>description of gravity in the domain in which it applies.
>>>>>>
>>>>>> I don't believe it. I demonstrated it when I did my labs.
>>>>>
>>>>>You still believe it is the _best_ description of gravity. Tomorrow some
>>>>>one
>>>>
>>>>Einstein
>>>>
>>>>>may overhaul Newtonian gravity and explain that it is actually incorrect
>>>>>because of [insert reason here].
>>>>
>>>>General relativity, as demonstrated in the orbit of Mercury.
>>>>
>>>
>>>But even that cannot be entirely correct, as it is incompatible with
>>>quantum
>>>mechanics.
>>
>> But it certainly makes Newton's formulation not-the-best.
>
>Newtonian gravity is perfect at what it tries to describe.
>

Cool, it's perfect when it's perfect; otherwise, it's not.

Got it.

John