From: Joerg on
Bill Sloman wrote:
> On Nov 25, 12:09 pm, Jan Panteltje <pNaonStpealm...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:

[...]

>> But the glaciers, those will further retreat from Europe, and north of America,
>> only to come back then later, in thousands of years cycles.
>
> Since we've messed up the positive feedback that drove that cycle and
> added more than enough CO2 and methane to the atmosphere, the glacier
> aren't going to be coming back any time soon.
>
> The shapes and locations ofof the continents will still be pretty much
> the same. I doubt if the world will look that different.
>

Ahm, the glacier north of us on Mt.Shasta is growing ...

Maybe it hasn't heard of AGW and someone should tell it :-)

--
Regards, Joerg

http://www.analogconsultants.com/

"gmail" domain blocked because of excessive spam.
Use another domain or send PM.
From: John Larkin on
On Wed, 25 Nov 2009 00:56:10 -0800 (PST), Bill Sloman
<bill.sloman(a)ieee.org> wrote:

>On Nov 24, 4:04�pm, John Larkin
><jjlar...(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
>> On Tue, 24 Nov 2009 00:43:51 -0800 (PST),Bill Sloman
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> <bill.slo...(a)ieee.org> wrote:
>> >On Nov 24, 2:42�am, John Larkin
>> ><jjlar...(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
>> >> On Mon, 23 Nov 2009 16:31:49 -0800 (PST),Bill Sloman
>>
>> >> <bill.slo...(a)ieee.org> wrote:
>> >> >On Nov 23, 5:43�pm, John Larkin
>> >> ><jjlar...(a)highNOTlandTHIStechnologyPART.com> wrote:
>> >> >> On Mon, 23 Nov 2009 04:12:23 -0800 (PST),Bill Sloman
>>
>> >> >> <bill.slo...(a)ieee.org> wrote:
>> >> >> >On Nov 23, 12:06�pm, ChrisQ <m...(a)devnull.com> wrote:
>> >> >> >> John Larkin wrote:
>>
>> ><snip>
>>
>> >> >> So now you are using local weather events as proof of climate change.
>> >> >> So what do you make of the recent record-setting cold snaps across the
>> >> >> USA?
>>
>> >> >One of the regular predictions of the effects of global warming is a
>> >> >higher frequency of extreme weather. The logic is that global warming
>> >> >means more water vapour in the atmosphere, and the engine that drives
>> >> >weather is the energy released when water vapour condenses.
>>
>> >> >Extreme weather can be hot or cold, wet or dry, which does put
>> >> >proponents of anthropogenic global warming in the catbird seat when
>> >> >some extreme weather shows up.
>>
>> >> Like, for instance, when it rains for 40 days and 40 nights?
>>
>> >That doesn't seem to have happened recently.
>>
>> Exactly. Bad weather has been happening for thousands of years.
>>
>> The records are funny. When they say "coldest November in 80 years" I
>> think "then it was even colder 80 years ago."
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>>
>> >> >> Geez, I'm sure glad you don't design electronics. Stick to obsessing
>> >> >> about climate; that will keep you from doing much real harm.
>>
>> >> >And if you concentrated on electronics, which you do know something
>> >> >about, rather than potificating about climate change, where you
>> >> >ignorance makes you a total sucker for the most fatuaous denialist
>> >> >rubbish, you'd be less of a menance.
>>
>> >> I do concentrate on electronics... a lot. I have about 11 or so
>> >> interesting projects at various stages of development, and a bunch
>> >> more we're thinking about.
>>
>> >> But why does being skeptical of some nonlinear/chaotic computer models
>> >> constitute "menace"? The science must be very, very fragile if it
>> >> can't bear my humble skepticism in an obscure newsgroup.
>>
>> >Your scepticism is nether humble nor yours. You pick up neatly
>> >packaged chunks of scepticism from your frieindly neighbourhood
>> >denialist propaganda machine and regurgitate them here.
>>
>> >> I suppose that's another reason they hide their raw data and cook the peer
>> >> reviews.
>>
>> >Since they "hide" their raw data because it is incomprehensible and
>> >"cook" their peer reviews - to the limited extent that they can
>> >influence editors - by preferentially citing the work of people known
>> >to produce constructive reviews, this is just another piece of
>> >evidence that you know very little about the way science works. You
>> >may sell remarkable scientific measuring instruments to scientific
>> >research laboratories, but you clearly don't often get to drink coffee
>> >with the people who use your gear.
>>
>> >> Well, the AGW fad has peaked. What anti-civilization paranoia will be
>> >> next, do you think?
>>
>> >The enthusiasm of Exxon-Mobil and similar fossil-carbon extraction
>> >companies for filling the media with anti-scientific propaganda aimed
>> >at blocking the changes to our civilisation that will be needed to
>> >prevent it's collapse (and the consequent population implosion) does
>> >imply that there are a lot of rich people around exhibiting a rather
>> >dangerous form pf psychopathic short-term self-interest.
>>
>> >One might hope that they might grow out of it, but Jahred Diamond's
>> >book "Collapse" makes it pretty clear that the leaders of a failing
>> >society will have their attention firmly fixed on maintaining their
>> >status within that society - in your case, your status as a successful
>> >businessman - right up to the point where it starts collapsing around
>> >their ears.
>>
>> I am not a businessman; I'm a circuit designer.
>
>Whenever you get on th defensive you boast about running a successful
>business.
>

I'm never seriously on the defensive here, because it doesn't matter.
And what I do 98% of the time is design electronics. Other people run
the business, which I have little talent for and less interest. The
combination is fairly successful.

We had a great month in October, multiples of the average monthly
sales in mid-year, which was frankly terrifying. November looks almost
as good, when in past years November was generally bad. I think the
earlier spending fear is mostly over, and there's pent-up demand
emerging now.

Too bad we have the Thanksgiving holiday over here. Nothing happens
this week.


>Time is never going to have a Circuit Designer of the Year on its
>front cover - the "successful businessman" aspect of your work is what
>gives you get your social status.

I hate social status. Ceremonies embarass me. I want to be rich, but I
don't want to be famous. I do like it when I design something really
good and serious people say it's good, and buy some to emphasize the
point.

And Time Magazine has become a brainless parody of itself, like much
of print journalism. They haven't the sense to realize that their
target audience is people who *read*.

>
>> Are you into the 2012 cult?
>
>Just far enough to know that nitwits like Rice Grise take it
>seriously, that it depends on some imagined feature of the Inca
>calender, and there are suggestions that 2012 isn't the magic year
>that it is claimed to be. It's just another form of astrology and
>appeals to the same kinds of fruitcakes.

Like most disaster scenarios; AGW comes to mind.

The serious disaster scenario is an asteroid or comet hit. The ISS
could be used as a detection/tracking platform and a staging area for
deflector missiles. We'd have serious international cooperation and
the ISS would finally have a use.

>
>You should know me well enough to have been able to predict that
>answer, or something very like it.

I have no useful mental model for sour, grim, useless, and hostile
people like you. Earth is too wonderful a planet, and our visit here
too short, to waste it.

That said, I'm off for a hike on the Pacific Crest Trail. Next trip
up, it will probably be snowed in. That's OK, that means we can ski.

John

From: Jan Panteltje on
On a sunny day (Wed, 25 Nov 2009 08:59:29 -0800) it happened Rich Grise
<richgrise(a)example.net> wrote in <pan.2009.11.25.16.59.25.64076(a)example.net>:

>Not to mention that the warming cycles PRECEDE the elevations in CO2
>levels. This is pretty obvious, when you consider that cold water can hold
>more CO2 in solution than warm water can.
>
>But Bill has faith, which trumps facts, like this inconvenient one:
>http://www.infowars.com/al-gore-admits-co2-does-not-cause-majority-of-global-warming/
>
>Cheers!
>Rich

Gore should be locked up.
From: John Larkin on
On Wed, 25 Nov 2009 17:13:35 GMT, Jan Panteltje
<pNaonStpealmtje(a)yahoo.com> wrote:

>On a sunny day (Wed, 25 Nov 2009 08:59:29 -0800) it happened Rich Grise
><richgrise(a)example.net> wrote in <pan.2009.11.25.16.59.25.64076(a)example.net>:
>
>>Not to mention that the warming cycles PRECEDE the elevations in CO2
>>levels. This is pretty obvious, when you consider that cold water can hold
>>more CO2 in solution than warm water can.
>>
>>But Bill has faith, which trumps facts, like this inconvenient one:
>>http://www.infowars.com/al-gore-admits-co2-does-not-cause-majority-of-global-warming/
>>
>>Cheers!
>>Rich
>
>Gore should be locked up.

He's done an excellent job of turning off Sloman's mind.

John


From: dagmargoodboat on
On Nov 25, 7:59 am, Bill Sloman <bill.slo...(a)ieee.org> wrote:
> On Nov 25, 12:12 pm, Jan Panteltje <pNaonStpealm...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
>
>
>
> > On a sunny day (Tue, 24 Nov 2009 20:03:18 -0800 (PST)) it happenedBill Sloman
> > <bill.slo...(a)ieee.org> wrote in
> > <e8d9dfe9-9805-4503-bd9a-662f0098c...(a)v25g2000yqk.googlegroups.com>:
>
> > >On Nov 24, 1:25 pm, Jan Panteltje <pNaonStpealm...(a)yahoo.com> wrote:
> > >> On a sunny day (Tue, 24 Nov 2009 00:43:51 -0800 (PST)) it happenedBill Sl=
> > >oman
> > >> <bill.slo...(a)ieee.org> wrote in
> > >> <be3e96e1-68fd-4366-b23d-5c7f15549...(a)t18g2000vbj.googlegroups.com>:
>
> > >> >The enthusiasm of Exxon-Mobil and similar fossil-carbon extraction
> > >> >companies for filling the media with anti-scientific propaganda aimed
> > >> >at blocking the changes to our civilisation that will be needed to
> > >> >prevent it's collapse (and the consequent population implosion) does
> > >> >imply that there are a lot of rich people around exhibiting a rather
> > >> >dangerous form pf psychopathic short-term self-interest.
>
> > >> Hey, if it was not for Exxon-Mobil and the other energy companies,
> > >> there would be no media, no energy, and no way to spread the ideas origin=
> > >> ating from your overheated globe.
>
> > >BP and Shell both have the sense to acknowledge that anthropogenic
> > >global warming is real and both have started diversifying into more
> > >sustainable activities.
>
> > >You don't seem to have realised the burning fossil carbon isn't the
> > >only way to generate energy.
>
> > You really are beginning to sound like an idiot nut case.
> > After all the case I made here for nuclear power.
>
> The French genenrate most of their electric power from nuclear
> reactors and yet you claimed
>
> > >> Hey, if it was not for Exxon-Mobil and the other energy companies,
> > >> there would be no media, no energy,
>
> Just admit you have no clue and are wrong.


Okay boys and girls, FWIW let's whip out the calculator and fact-check
the authoritative Mr. Bill:

France produces
447e12 watt-hours of electricity annually, and consumes
1.99 x 10e6 bbl of petroleum (37MJ/L) per day, plus
49.27e9 m^3 of natural gas (36.4 MJ/m^3)
(CIA factbook)

How much energy is in that oil?

1.99e6 bbl/day * 365 days = 726e6 bbl/year,
x 159L/bbl = 115e9 L/year
x 37MJ / L = 4.27e18 J/year.

Doing the same for natural gas, we get:

(view table in fixed font)
FOSSIL FUELS
natural gas: 1.79 x 10^18 J
petroleum: 4.27 x 10^18 J
--------------
Subtotal: 6.06 x 10^18 J

ELECTRICAL
Total
electricity: 1.61 x 10^18 J
(nuclear): 1.29 x 10^18 J

TOTAL FOSSIL+NUCLEAR
7.35 x 10^18 J


So, France gets 18% of its energy from nukes, 82% from FOSSIL fuels.

--
Cheers,
James Arthur