From: Jeff Liebermann on
On Sat, 07 Aug 2010 08:00:45 -0700, John Navas
<spamfilter1(a)navasgroup.com> wrote:

>>If you look at the independent testing regarding dropped calls, it does
>>show a far greater dropped call rate for AT&T, which jives with the
>>results of all the independent consumer surveys on dropped calls.
>>
>>"http://www.9to5mac.com/changewave-AT-T"
>
>What these surveys actually show is that the percentage of dropped calls
>on all carriers is quite small, probably on the order of the sampling
>error (which isn't disclosed, and could even be higher than the reported
>numbers). The presumption that this data is accurate to a tenth of a
>percent is statistical nonsense.

I've been trying to figure out where ChangeWave is getting their
numbers. On the above web page, it's claimed that "Over 4,000
smartphone users were polled in the survey". Ok, that's a fairly good
sample. However, digging through their web pile, I find:
<http://www.changewaveresearch.com/about-us/how-we-do-it.html>
The ChangeWave Research Network is a group of 25,000 highly
qualified business, technology and medical professionals
- as well as early adopter consumers - who over the past
9 years have joined to form one of the most unique business
intelligence gathering networks in the world.
Ummm.... ok. So did they cherry pick 4000 smartphone owners from
among their 25,000 business users, did they borrow the numbers from
some other survey group, or what? If from their business users, it's
a rather odd survey criteria for a consumer product. Without raw
data, the conclusions are rather suspect.



--
Jeff Liebermann jeffl(a)cruzio.com
150 Felker St #D http://www.LearnByDestroying.com
Santa Cruz CA 95060 http://802.11junk.com
Skype: JeffLiebermann AE6KS 831-336-2558
From: Jeff Liebermann on
On Thu, 05 Aug 2010 20:36:57 -0500, Lloyd Parsons
<lloydparsons(a)mac.com> wrote:

>Jeff, you misread John. His implication was that Android is bigger in
>use than iPhone. But it is easy to misread what John means or implies
>as he has no grasp on business concepts at all.

Methinks he's correct any way you read it (market share, growth,
sales, users, etc). Going to the source:
<http://www.isuppli.com/Mobile-and-Wireless-Communications/News/Pages/Googles-Android-to-Outstrip-Apples-iOS-by-2012-iSuppli-Forecasts.aspx>
Note the graph which forcasts more Android users than iOS users after
2012.

--
Jeff Liebermann jeffl(a)cruzio.com
150 Felker St #D http://www.LearnByDestroying.com
Santa Cruz CA 95060 http://802.11junk.com
Skype: JeffLiebermann AE6KS 831-336-2558
From: Steven Fisher on
In article <kohr56d9abi68sbqgv1d0rrdugfol94lgi(a)4ax.com>,
Jeff Liebermann <jeffl(a)cruzio.com> wrote:

> Methinks he's correct any way you read it (market share, growth,
> sales, users, etc). Going to the source:
> <http://www.isuppli.com/Mobile-and-Wireless-Communications/News/Pages/Googles-
> Android-to-Outstrip-Apples-iOS-by-2012-iSuppli-Forecasts.aspx>
> Note the graph which forcasts more Android users than iOS users after
> 2012.

Given that this is 2010, perhaps you see the problem.

Steve
From: Lloyd Parsons on
In article <kohr56d9abi68sbqgv1d0rrdugfol94lgi(a)4ax.com>,
Jeff Liebermann <jeffl(a)cruzio.com> wrote:

> On Thu, 05 Aug 2010 20:36:57 -0500, Lloyd Parsons
> <lloydparsons(a)mac.com> wrote:
>
> >Jeff, you misread John. His implication was that Android is bigger in
> >use than iPhone. But it is easy to misread what John means or implies
> >as he has no grasp on business concepts at all.
>
> Methinks he's correct any way you read it (market share, growth,
> sales, users, etc). Going to the source:
> <http://www.isuppli.com/Mobile-and-Wireless-Communications/News/Pages/Googles-
> Android-to-Outstrip-Apples-iOS-by-2012-iSuppli-Forecasts.aspx>
> Note the graph which forcasts more Android users than iOS users after
> 2012.

The graph doesn't apply. It is in use now that is what is under
discussion.

Sales trends, growth, etc will come into play over time.

Frankly I suspect that a slew of Android based smartphones in total may
end up being more than the total of iPhones in use in the future, but
there will be no single version that will even get very close.

And with Android, that is a distinct difference. Each phone has
whatever the carrier/producer puts on it. And unless something changes,
adding additional apps will remain sluggish on Android for developers.

--
Lloyd


From: Todd Allcock on

"ZnU" <znu(a)fake.invalid> wrote in message
news:znu-7283CB.14165507082010(a)Port80.Individual.NET...
> In article <08sq56l9gi1u4hsrbecr24kadau1n7ph0i(a)4ax.com>,
> John Navas <spamfilter1(a)navasgroup.com> wrote:
>
>> On Sat, 07 Aug 2010 05:51:44 -0400, in
>> <znu-1D9F45.05514407082010(a)Port80.Individual.NET>, ZnU
>> <znu(a)fake.invalid> wrote:
>>
>> >In article <050820101301232886%nospam(a)nospam.invalid>,
>> > nospam <nospam(a)nospam.invalid> wrote:
>> >
>> >> In article <lloydparsons-2C9285.10404005082010(a)idisk.mac.com>, Lloyd
>> >> Parsons <lloydparsons(a)mac.com> wrote:
>> >>
>> >> > And for all the complaints about how good/bad AT&T is,
>> >> > there has been much conjecture that if any other provider had been
>> >> > given
>> >> > the iPhone exclusive, they would have had the same problems that
>> >> > AT&T
>> >> > has had with the useage patterns.
>> >>
>> >> except that with the explosion of android phones, you don't see very
>> >> many complaints about verizon, yet you still see complaints about
>> >> at&t.
>> >
>> >This is not especially meaningful. The iPhone has faced _far_ more
>> >scrutiny than the confused mess of Android phones various carriers are
>> >now selling.
>>
>> I respectfully disagree -- Android has received enormous scrutiny.
>
> Antennagate demonstrates _very_ clearly that Apple is not remotely held
> to the same standard as other industry participants. It is simply
> unimaginable that any such controversy could have arisen with respect to
> any other specific handset model.


Perhaps, but I see it as a popularity issue, coupled with the dearth of
models. If Nokia or Motorola had a "radical new" antenna design on one of
their phones with a similar problem, it'd be one model of dozens. Other
than Apple continuing to sell "last year's model" along with the iPhone du
jour, the iPhone 4 is THE Apple phone, meaning if the device has an alleged
problem, the "entire line" has an alleged problem. If there was an iPhone
Classic, iPhone Nano, iPhone Shuffle, etc., I think this would be less of a
big deal.